Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 4-11-24 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Red Sox vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, April 11th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

• The Red Sox recent form and recent player performance 
• The Orioles recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Baltimore
• Recent betting trends in games played between Boston and Baltimore
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Boston and Baltimore

Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 7-5 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Boston has lost the first two games in this series, but did win two out of three against the Angels and swept the Athletics before that. The Boston pitching staff has a 2.08 ERA, a 1.08 WHIP, and a .205 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 56 runs with a .235 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Tyler O’Neill is batting .343 with six home runs and seven RBI’s for the Red Sox. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Garrett Whitlock, who is 1-0 with a 0.96 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 9.1 innings pitched this season. 

Orioles Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 7-4 this season and they have won two games in a row. Baltimore won the first two games in this series by scores of 7-1 and 7-5, and they will go for the sweep here. Prior to this series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Pirates and won two out of three against KC. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 2.88 ERA, a 1.00 WHIP, and a .205 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 61 runs with a .235 batting average and a .292 on base percentage. Anthony Santander is batting .213 with two home runs and 11 RBI’s for the Orioles. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Grayson Rodriguez, who is 2-0 with a 2.19 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 12.1 innings pitched this year. 

Boston Red Sox Team Facts

• The Red Sox have lost each of their last 10 night games following a home loss.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 night games following a home loss.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have won the first inning in each of their last three Thursday games as home underdogs.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five home games.

Baltimore Orioles Team Facts

• The Orioles have won each of their last eight night games following a road win.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last three night games against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against American League opponents.

Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction

Baltimore comes into this game looking for their third straight win in this series and they have scored seven runs in each of the first two games. Boston is looking for their first home win of the season and they will turn to Garrett Whitlock, who has allowed one earned run over 9.1 innings against Seattle and the Angels. The Orioles are starting Grayson Rodriguez, who has allowed three earned runs over 12.1 innings against the Angels and Pirates. Both of these pitchers have looked strong to start the 2024 season, but I think the Baltimore offense is way ahead of Boston’s. Take the Orioles here.