Brewers vs Cubs Prediction 5/4/25 MLB Picks Today

The Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers meet Sunday in MLB action at American Family Field. Here’s a Brewers vs Cubs Prediction. This article will include a Brewers vs Cubs Pick.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 21-13 on the year and play the Giants, Mets, and Marlins next. The Chicago Cubs are batting .265 on the season, have a .341 OBP, and a .462 slugging percentage. The Chicago Cubs pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Ian Happ leads the Chicago Cubs with 41 hits and 16 RBI, while Kyle Tucker and Pete Crow-Armstrong have combined for 74 hits and 56 RBI.

Shota Imanaga gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 3-1 with a 2.77 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. This will be Imanaga’s second career game against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 16-18 on the year and play the Astros, Rays, and Guardians next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting .239 on the season, have a .317 OBP, and a .359 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers pitching staff has a 4.45 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP. Brice Turang leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 41 hits and 16 RBI while Jackson Chourio and Sal Frelick have combined for 72 hits and 33 RBI.

Freddy Peralta gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 3-2 with a 2.52 ERA and 41 strikeouts this season. Peralta is 6-2 with a 3.16 ERA and 109 strikeouts in his career against the Chicago Cubs.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won each of their last eight day games against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
• The Cubs have lost 13 of their last 18 games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents following a road win.
• The Brewers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents.
• The Brewers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents.

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Cubs have won eight of their last nine road games against NL Central opponents.
• The Brewers have lost each of their last four games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Cubs have covered the run line each of their last six games at American Family Field against teams that held a losing record.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs.
• The Cubs have won the first inning in each of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record at American Family Field.
• The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Sunday day games as favorites.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Jackson Chourio has recorded a Double in four of the Brewers’ last five games against NL opponents.
• Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL Central opponents.
• Brice Turang has scored at least one run in five of the Brewers’ last six day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL Central opponents.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded eight or more strikeouts in five of his last six home appearances against the Cubs.
• Brice Turang has recorded at least one Single in each of the Brewers’ last seven games as home underdogs.
• Sal Frelick has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Brice Turang ranks T6th in the league in Hits (41) this season.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Ian Happ has recorded a Double in six of the Cubs’ last eight road games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Tucker has hit a home run in each of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one RBI in each of his seven previous road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Shota Imanaga has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Dansby Swanson has scored at least one run in each of the Cubs’ last eight road games against NL Central opponents.
• Shota Imanaga has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Dansby Swanson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 12 road games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Carson Kelly has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite against NL Central opponents.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks 4th in the league in Steals (12) this season.

Brewers vs Cubs Prediction

You can make a strong case for the Cubs, as they’re playing the better baseball and Imanaga is on the mound. Imanaga is building on his all-star season with a solid 2.77 ERA and 1.13 WHIP, and he has a 0.53 ERA and .206 allowed batting average in 17 road innings.

With that said, the Brewers are due for a bounce back performance and Peralta is having a great year himself. In his last 34.1 innings, Peralta has allowed just 24 hits and nine runs. Peralta is also familiar with the Cubs, and he’s holding current hitters to a .171 allowed batting average and 42 strikeouts in 117 at bats. Guys like Happ and Swanson have had zero success against Peralta. I’ll take the Brewers on Sunday.