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Brewers vs Phillies Prediction 9/1/25 MLB Picks Today

Philadelphia Phillies (79-58) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (85-53)
September 1, 2025 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -157 / Philadelphia Phillies 129; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)

The Philadelphia Phillies and Milwaukee Brewers meet Monday in MLB action at American Family Field. Here’s a Brewers vs Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Brewers vs Phillies Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 79-58 on the year and play the Marlins, Mets, and Royals next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .257 on the season, have a .326 OBP, and a .423 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 169 hits and 64 RBI, while Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos have combined for 250 hits and 180 RBI.

Taijuan Walker gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 4-7 with a 3.63 ERA and 73 strikeouts this season. Walker is 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA and 15 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 85-53 on the year and play the Pirates, Rangers, and Cardinals next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting .259 on the season, have a .332 OBP, and a .409 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers pitching staff has a 3.60 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Brice Turang leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 143 hits and 68 RBI while Christian Yelich and Sal Frelick have combined for 268 hits and 145 RBI.

Jacob Misiorowski gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 4-2 with a 4.33 ERA and 65 strikeouts this season. This will be Misiorowski’s first career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

  • The Brewers have won each of their last 10 games against NL East opponents.
  • The Phillies have lost each of their last five road games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last six day games following a road loss.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last eight games as underdogs.
  • The Phillies have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs.
  • The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road games against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

  • The Phillies have won each of their last 11 games following a home loss.
  • The Brewers have lost each of their last three games as favorites.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in 12 of the Brewers’ last 13 games.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites.
  • The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Brewers have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against NL East opponents.
  • The Phillies have led after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against National League opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • William Contreras has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last four games as favorites.
  • Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances with the Brewers as favorites.
  • Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Brewers as favorites.
  • Sal Frelick ranks 9th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.296) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Bryce Harper has recorded at least one Double in each of the Phillies’ last three day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games as underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Taijuan Walker has recorded four or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine Monday appearances with his team as an underdog.
  • J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games.
  • Trea Turner ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (169) this season.

Brewers vs Phillies Prediction

The Phillies and plus money is intriguing when you consider they’re a legit contender, and you don’t get this spot often. Walker has also been strong this season, which includes 10 runs allowed in his last 28.2 innings. However, we’ve been riding the Brewers train for a while now and the tickets keep cashing. This is a quick turnaround for a Phillies side that played late last night. Also, while he’s been hit hard lately, Misiorowski has been money at home through 25 innings, where he has a 2.16 ERA and .151 allowed batting average. Big series as the Brewers hope to wrap up the best record in the NL. I’ll lay the reasonable price with the home team.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -157

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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