Brewers vs Red Sox Prediction 5/28/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 28th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 28-28 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 3-2 and 5-1. In their game two win, the Brewers trailed 1-0 late in the game, but they scored once in the ninth and four times in the tenth to get the win. The Brewers recorded seven hits in the game, and they were led by Yelich, who went 2-5 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. Milwaukee started Civale, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings, while Zastryzny picked up the win in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Brewers split four games with the Pirates and won two out of three against the Orioles. Milwaukee has won three games in a row, and they are currently third in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 240 runs with a .232 batting average and a .311 on-base percentage this season. Christian Yelich has led Milwaukee with 10 home runs and 34 RBIs, while Rhys Hoskins has added seven home runs and 29 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Freddy Peralta, who is 5-3 with a 2.55 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 60.0 innings pitched this year. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 27-30 this season after they dropped game two by a score of 5-1 in extra innings on Tuesday. Boston took a 1-0 lead in the sixth inning, but they blew the save in the ninth and couldn’t score in their half of the 10th for the loss. The Red Sox recorded seven hits in the game, and they were led by Mayer, who went 2-3 in the loss. Boston started Fitts, who allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 3.0 innings, while Chapman blew the save and Hendriks got the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Red Sox split four games with the Orioles and won two out of three against the Mets. Boston has lost four games in a row, and they are currently fourth in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .256 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 270 runs with a .253 batting average and a .324 on-base percentage this season. Rafael Devers has led Boston with 12 home runs and 48 RBIs, while Alex Bregman (IL) has added 11 home runs and 35 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Brayan Bello, who is 2-1 with a 4.08 ERA and a 1.70 WHIP over 35.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Brewers will beat the Red Sox

• The Red Sox have lost each of their last 10 games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Brewers have won each of their last 13 Wednesday games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six road games against National League opponents.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last five games against the Red Sox.
• The Brewers have led after 3 innings in 11 of their last 12 games as home favorites.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five day games.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the last five games between the Red Sox and Brewers have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last five games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Red Sox’s last five road games.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last four Wednesday day games.
• Christian Yelich has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Red Sox.
• Christian Yelich has recorded at least one RBI in each of his four previous home appearances against the Red Sox.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Brewers as favorites.
• Brice Turang has scored at least one run in each of the Brewers’ last eight games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
• Sal Frelick has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Brewers as home favorites.
• Brice Turang has recorded at least one Single in 10 of his last 11 home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Triston Casas has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Triston Casas has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 Wednesday day appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Jarren Duran has recorded at least one Single in each of the Red Sox’s last six day games.

Brewers vs Red Sox Prediction 

Boston couldn’t hold onto the lead on Tuesday night, and they have lost four games in a row. The Red Sox are just 11-16 on the road this year, and they have scored a total of five runs in their last four games. The Brewers are 17-10 at home so far this season, and they have won three straight games overall. Milwaukee is starting Peralta, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Boston is going with Bello, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. Both of these pitchers have been very solid, but Bello doesn’t go very deep into games, and the Red Sox offense has disappeared. Take the Brewers here.