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LA Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 8/16/26 MLB Picks Today

Milwaukee Brewers (76-48) vs. LA Dodgers (74-50)
August 16, 2026 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: LA Dodgers -176 / Milwaukee Brewers +163; Over/Under: 7
(Get latest betting odds)

The Milwaukee Brewers and the Los Angeles Dodgers meet Sunday in MLB action from Dodger Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Milwaukee Brewers will send out Logan Henderson for the start and Henderson is 6-2 with a 2.88 ERA and 69 strikeouts this season. Tarik Skubal will start for the Dodgers and is 7-6 with a 2.93 ERA and 128 strikeouts this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to add on to their 4-1 win over the Dodgers from Saturday to sit at 76-48 this season. After this series, the Brewers will take on the Seattle Mariners in a series at home.

Brewers Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Going into Saturday, William Contreras has 111 hits with 17 doubles, 11 home runs and 59 RBIs while Brice Turang’s added 121 hits with 28 doubles, 3 triples, 16 homers and 76 RBIs. Jake Bauers has 98 hits with 17 doubles, 21 home runs and 67 RBIs and Sal Frelick’s added 65 hits with 4 home runs and 34 RBIs this season. Garrett Mitchell has 88 hits with 24 doubles and 50 RBIs this season. Jackson Chourio’s also contributed 98 hits with 20 doubles, 17 home runs and 48 RBIs this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss to Milwaukee on Saturday to sit at 74-50 this year. After this series, the Dodgers will take on the Colorado Rockies in a series at home.

Dodgers Looking For Series Win

Entering Saturday, Andy Pages has 125 hits with 24 doubles, 19 home runs and 76 RBIs while Teoscar Hernandez has 74 hits with 13 doubles, 11 home runs and 42 RBIs. Shohei Ohtani has 125 hits with 23 doubles, 27 home runs and 74 RBIs and Freddie Freeman has 136 hits with 27 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 57 RBIs this season. Will Smith has 6 home runs and 23 RBIs as well this season. Max Muncy’s added 91 hits with 17 doubles, 22 home runs and 56 RBIs and Kyle Tucker has 96 hits with 18 doubles, 11 home runs and 54 RBIs this season.

Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends: August 16, 2026

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Tarik Skubal      Record this season: 7-6      ERA: 2.93
  • Home Record: 3-2
  • Last 5 against Brewers: 2-0

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

  • The Brewers have lost each of their last six road games against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Dodgers have won each of their last three games following a loss.
  • The favorites have covered the run line in eight of the last nine games between the Brewers and Dodgers.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
  • The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs.
  • The Dodgers have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against the Brewers at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.
  • The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in 12 of their last 14 games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Henderson      Record this season: 6-2      ERA: 2.88
  • Road Record: 3-2
  • Last 5 against Dodgers: 1-0

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

  • The Dodgers have lost each of their last seven day games after playing the previous day.
  • The underdogs have won four of the Brewers’ last six games.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 home games against National League opponents.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in 36 of their last 45 games as road underdogs.
  • The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games.
  • The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Five of the Brewers’ last six games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Dodgers’ last six games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Logan Henderson’s last six appearances as a starter.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 12 of Tarik Skubal’s last 15 appearances as a starter.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Andy Pages has hit a home run in two of the Dodgers’ last three games as favorites against the Brewers.
  • Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Dodgers’ last seven games against the Brewers.
  • Tarik Skubal is one of only three pitchers to record 90+ Strikeouts and 20 or less Walks this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • William Contreras has hit a home run in two of the Brewers’ last three day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Logan Henderson has recorded a win in six of his last eight appearances.
  • Logan Henderson has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
  • Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in day games.
  • Jake Bauers ranks 9th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.377) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.217).
  • The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (884).
  • The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (113).
  • The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (518).

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

I’m on the Brewers here. I just think at this price, the Brewers are too good to pass on when Skubal hasn’t been the dominant arm the Dodgers thought they were acquiring at the deadline. Sure, it’s only been two starts but still the results have been average at best. Henderson’s been solid and already had a good start against L.A. earlier this season and I think that repeats itself here. Give me Milwaukee.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers +163

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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