Minnesota Twins (40-45) vs. Miami Marlins (38-45)
July 2, 2025 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins +104 / Minnesota Twins -126; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Minnesota Twins and the Miami Marlins meet Wednesday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Marlins vs Twins Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Minnesota Twins will send out Simeon Woods-Richardson for the start here and is 3-4 with a 4.63 ERA and 52 strikeouts this season. This will be Woods-Richardson’s second career start against the Marlins. Miami will start Janson Junk here, and Junk is 2-0 with a 3.73 ERA and 26 strikeouts this season. This will be Junk’s first career start against the Twins.
Minnesota Twins Recap
The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to rebound from a 2-0 loss at the hands of the Marlins in Tuesday’s matchup to sit at 40-45 on the year. After this series, the Twins will head home for a series against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Twins Lose Three In A Row… Again
Byron Buxton has 72 hits along with 10 doubles, a team-high 19 home runs, and 51 RBIs with 15 stolen bases and 3 triples, while Carlos Correa has 69 hits with 14 doubles, and Willi Castro has 56 hits with 12 doubles as well. Harrison Bader added 7 home runs and 27 RBIs while Buxton contributed a team-high 76 strikeouts as well this season. Ty France has also added 78 hits, 15 doubles, 6 home runs, and 42 RBIs, and Trevor Larnach chipped in 74 hits with 12 doubles, 12 home runs, and 39 RBIs as well this season.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Twins have won each of their last nine Wednesday games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have lost each of their last eight Wednesday home games.
- The Twins have covered the run line each of their last nine Wednesday games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games following a home win.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in four of his last five road appearances with the Twins against NL opponents.
- Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Byron Buxton ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.558) this season.
Miami Marlins Recap
The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Twins on Tuesday to sit at 38-45 on the year. After this series, the Marlins will take on the Milwaukee Brewers at home.
Marlins Win Eight In A Row
Xavier Edwards has 75 hits, including 9 doubles and a team-high 14 stolen bases, while Eric Wagaman has 73 hits with 19 doubles. Otto Lopez has 65 hits with 9 doubles and 8 home runs with 40 RBIs. Kyle Stowers has 74 hits with 13 doubles, 3 triples, 13 home runs, and 43 RBIs, but also has 86 strikeouts so far this season. Agustin Ramirez also has 12 home runs, 15 doubles, and 33 RBIs, and Jesus Sanchez has chipped in 28 RBIs as well on the year.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won each of their last eight games as underdogs.
- The Twins have lost each of their last nine night games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last eight games.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents following a road loss.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against AL opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Twins’ last three night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Marlins vs Twins Prediction
I’m on the Marlins in this one. I’ve said time and time again that the Twins are one of those teams that you fade when they’re cold and ride when they’re hot. The problem is that right now, the Twins are a walking ice cube, and the advantages they had at one point aren’t paying dividends. When the pitching is on, like it was on Tuesday, the offense is non-existent. When the offense is clicking, the bullpen falters. In the end, I just think that the value is on Miami right now, so I’ll back the Marlins in this one.
