San Francisco Giants (25-26) vs. NY Mets (21-28)
May 24, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -140 / San Francisco Giants +120; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a NY Mets vs San Francisco Giants prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 24th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.
Mets Continue to Drop in the NL East
The New York Mets are 21-28 this year and they have lost five of their last six games. New York is coming off of a series loss against Cleveland, where they lost all three games by scores of 3-1, 7-6, and 6-3. Prior to that series, the Mets lost two out of three against Miami, lost three out of four against Philadelphia, and lost two out of three against Atlanta. New York has lost 10 of their last 13 games and they are fourth in the NL East behind the Phillies, Braves, and Nationals.
The New York pitching staff has a 4.08 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, and a .229 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 209 runs with a .237 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .236 with 11 home runs and 24 RBI’s for the Mets this season. New York is 17th in team ERA and they are 18th in runs scored this year, and they have allowed at least four runs in eight of their last ten games.
Giants Look to Stay Hot
The San Francisco Giants are 25-26 this season and they have won six of their last seven games. San Francisco is coming off of a series win against the Pirates, where they won two out of three games and scored 22 runs in the process. Prior to that series, the Giants swept the Rockies in three games, lost two out of three against the Dodgers, and won two out of three against the Reds. San Francisco has won eight of their last eleven games and they are third in the NL West behind the Dodgers and Padres.
The San Francisco pitching staff has a 4.50 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a .258 opponent batting average. The Giants offense has scored 219 runs with a .250 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Matt Chapman is batting .249 with eight home runs and 27 RBI’s for the Giants this season. San Francisco is 14th in runs scored this year and they have scored at least four runs in seven straight games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Kyle Harrison, who is 4-1 with a 3.60 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 55.0 innings pitched this year. Harrison has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight starts and has allowed one earned run in his last two road starts (12.0 IP). The projected starting pitcher for New York is Christian Scott, who is 0-2 with a 4.32 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 16.2 innings pitched this year. Scott has allowed eight earned runs and 18 hits over his first three starts (16.2 IP).
Why the San Francisco Giants will win
The Mets have lost each of their last eight night games against the Giants following a loss.
The Giants have won each of their last three games as underdogs.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games at Citi Field.
The Giants have covered the run line in each of their last five games after playing the previous day.
The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three night games.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Giants’ last five road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Mets’ last five games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last seven games as favorites against NL West opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
The New York Mets rank 30th in the league for triples this season (1).
The New York Mets rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (213).
The San Francisco Giants rank 30th in the league for steals this season (17).
The San Francisco Giants rank 28th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.258).
NY Mets vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
The Giants come into this game after a nice series win in Pittsburgh and their offense has really stepped up in recent games, but they are just 10-16 on the road. New York is 10-14 at home and they have been one of the worst teams in the MLB over recent weeks. The Mets are starting Christian Scott, who has been decent in his first three outings, but I can’t trust their offense right now. The Giants are hitting the cover off the ball at the moment and Harrison has been solid. My NY Mets vs San Francisco Giants prediction is for the Giants to get the win.
