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Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 4-2-24 Picks

Cincinnati Reds (2-1) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1-2)
April 2, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -140 / Cincinnati Reds +129; Over/Under: +9
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Phillies betting prediction for this MLB showdown on Tuesday, April 2nd at Citizens Bank Park. We will take a look at: 

-The Cincinnati Reds recent form and recent player performance

-The Philadelphia Phillies recent form and recent player performance

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between the Reds and Phillies. 

Reds Are Hot

The Reds are hot heading into this game, and they currently sit with a 3-1 record overall. On Monday, the Reds’ offense scored six runs, and they ended up winning by three runs. Spencer Steet had a strong game, hitting a home run and driving in four RBIs. Getting the start for the Reds will be Graham Ashcraft, who finished last year with a 7-9 record and an ERA of 4.76. The Reds will take on the Mets and Brewers after this series.

Awful Start for the Phillies

The Phillies have really struggled, and they come into this game with a 1-3 record overall. The Phillies jumped out to a 2-0 lead, but they only managed one more goal the rest of the game. Kyle Schwarber had a strong game, putting up two hits and one run. Getting the start for the Phillies will be Spencer Turnbull, who came over from the Detroit Tigers this offseason. Last season for the Tigers, Turnbull went 1-4 and finished with an ERA of 7.26. 

Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts

  • The Phillies have won each of their last seven home games against the Reds following a loss.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Tuesday night games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The Phillies have led after 7 innings in each of their last five Tuesday games against the Reds.
  • The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against the Reds at Citizens Bank Park.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last three games as favorites against NL Central opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Team Facts

  • The Reds have won seven of their last eight road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Reds have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games after playing the previous day after going to extra innings.
  • The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three road games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last six road games against National League opponents.
  • The Reds have led after 5 innings in four of their last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents.

Reds vs Phillies Betting Prediction

The Phillies have gotten out to a slow start to the season, and it’s not going to get any easier in this game. Turnbull really struggled last season, finishing with an ERA of 7.26, and he’s going to really struggle in this game. The Reds’ offense is going to have no issue running up the score, and that will be the difference here, as the Reds are going to get the job done. Back the Reds on the money line. 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Reds ML

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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