Pittsburgh Pirates vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 9-15-24 MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Kansas City Royals prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 15th at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 70-78 this season and they have won four of their last six games. Pittsburgh has dropped the first two games in this series and has scored just four runs in the series. Prior to this series, the Pirates swept the Marlins, split four games with the Nationals, and won two out of three against the Cubs. Pittsburgh is 4-4 in their last eight games and they are last in the NL Central. 

The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and a .252 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 623 runs with a .236 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Bryan Reynolds is batting .282 with 22 home runs and 84 RBI’s for the Pirates this season. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 82-67 this year and they have won three of their last four games. Kansas City has won games one and two in this series by scores of 8-3 and 5-1. Prior to this series, the Royals lost two out of three against the Yankees, swept the Twins in three games, and lost two out of three against the Guardians. Kansas City is 7-2 in their last nine games and they are second in the AL Central. 

The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average. The Royals offense has scored 706 runs with a .253 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Bobby Witt is batting .333 with 31 home runs and 102 RBI’s for the Royals this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Jared Jones, who is 6-7 with a 3.82 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 108.1 innings pitched this season. Jones has allowed three earned runs or more in two of his last three starts. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Brady Singer, who is 9-10 with a 3.42 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 163.1 innings pitched this year. Singer has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. 

Why the Royals will beat the Pirates

• The Royals have won each of their last six games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Pirates have lost each of their last three games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The Royals have covered the run line each of their last 10 road games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 games as favorites against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Royals have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Pirates have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The Royals have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games as road underdogs against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Pirates’ last four games as favorites against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Royals’ last seven games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last five day games against AL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last three games as underdogs.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Oneil Cruz has recorded a Double in each of the Pirates’ last four games as favorites against AL opponents.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a favorite against AL opponents.
• Yasmani Grandal has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Pirates as favorites against AL opponents.
• Oneil Cruz has recorded an RBI in each of his last six appearances.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Pirates’ last 12 home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 13 home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Yasmani Grandal has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances with the Pirates as home favorites.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of the Royals’ last 16 games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 16 games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in nine of the Royals’ last 10 road games against NL Central opponents.
• Brady Singer has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six Sunday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
• Brady Singer has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Maikel Garcia has recorded a Double in four of the Royals’ last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit a home run in five of the Royals’ last seven day games.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Royals’ last six games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 

Kansas City rolls into this matchup looking for the series sweep and they have played very well over the last two weeks. The Royals are 37-37 on the road, while the Pirates are 37-40 at home. Pittsburgh has not been able to play consistently well this season and they are in the bottom third of the MLB in runs scored. The Pirates are starting Jared Jones, who has decent numbers on the season, but hasn’t been great recently. The Royals are going with Brady Singer, who has pitched pretty well in three straight starts. Kansas City is a very streaky team and they are on a roll right now, so I am taking them to get another win here.