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Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction 5/24/25 MLB Picks Today

Toronto Blue Jays (25-25) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (24-26)
May 24, 2025 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Rays -120 / Toronto Blue Jays 100; Over/Under: 9.5
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In this article we will formulate a Rays vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 24th at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 24-26 this year after they won game one by a score of 3-1. Tampa Bay scored the first three runs in the game and they were able to get the win, despite not scoring in the final five innings. The Rays recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Lowe, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Tampa Bay started Rasmussen, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Fairbanks picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Rays won two out of three against the Astros, but did lose two out of three against the Marlins before that. Tampa Bay has won three games in a row and they are currently fourth in the AL East standings. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.82 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 196 runs with a .241 batting average and a .306 on base percentage this season. Brandon Lowe has led Tampa Bay with nine home runs and 27 RBIs, while Yandy Diaz has added seven home runs and 27 RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Shane Baz, who is 3-3 with a 5.33 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 49.0 innings pitched this year. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 25-25 this season after they lost game one in this series on Friday night. Toronto was held scoreless in the first six innings, but they finally got on the scoreboard in the seventh to avoid the shutout. The Blue Jays recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Kirk, Clement, Clase, and Lukes, who all had one hit in the loss. Toronto started Lauer, who allowed six hits and three earned runs over 4.1 innings for the loss, while Fisher, Green, and Urena finished the last 3.2 innings. 

Prior to this series, the Blue Jays swept the Padres in three games, but lost two out of three against the Tigers before that. Toronto has won three of their last four games and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 204 runs with a .249 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this season. Vladimir Guerrero has led Toronto with six home runs and 22 RBIs, while Daulton Varsho has added seven home runs and 19 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Jose Berrios, who is 1-1 with a 4.19 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 58.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Blue Jays will beat the Rays

  • The Blue Jays have won six of their last eight games as underdogs.
  • The Rays have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a win.
  • The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs.
  • The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four home games against AL East opponents.
  • The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games as favorites against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eight of the Rays’ last nine night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Blue Jays’ last seven road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last six night games against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Rays as home favorites against the Blue Jays.
  • Brandon Lowe has recorded two or more RBIs in four of the Rays’ last five games against AL East opponents.
  • Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in four of the Rays’ last five games against the Blue Jays.
  • Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last eight games against AL opponents.
  • Ha-Seong Kim has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Daulton Varsho has hit at least one home run in three of his last five appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Jose Berrios has recorded a win in each of his three previous appearances with the Blue Jays as underdogs against the Rays.
  • Anthony Santander has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last seven Saturday night appearances against teams that held a losing record.
  • George Springer has scored at least one run in each of his last nine Saturday night appearances against teams that held a losing record.
  • Jose Berrios has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last eight road appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Bo Bichette has recorded at least one Single in 14 of his last 16 road appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ernie Clement has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances.

Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction 

Toronto had their small winning streak snapped on Friday night, as their offense never showed up, but they will look to bounce back here. The Blue Jays are 9-13 on the road this year, while the Rays are 14-18 at home. Tampa Bay has won three games in a row and they have outscored those opponents by a total of 14-7. The Rays are starting Baz, who has allowed five earned runs or more in three of his last four starts. The Jays are rolling with Berrios, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. Take Toronto to bounce back with a win here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Blue Jays ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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