Tampa Bay Rays vs NY Yankees Prediction 5-10-24 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Tampa Bay Rays vs NY Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 10th at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in this series. 

Tampa Bay is Starting To Roll

The Tampa Bay Rays are 19-19 this season and they have won five of their last six games. Tampa Bay is coming off of a series win against the White Sox, where they won two out of three games and scored 14 runs in the series. Prior to that series, the Rays swept the Mets, lost two out of three against Milwaukee, and were swept by the White Sox. Tampa Bay hasn’t played well for most of the season and they are fourth in the AL East behind the Orioles, Yankees, and Red Sox. 

The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 4.41 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and a .247 opponent batting average. The Rays offense has scored 154 runs with a .244 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Isaac Paredes is batting .300 with eight home runs and 20 RBI’s for the Rays this season. Tampa Bay is 23rd in team ERA this year, but they have allowed two runs or fewer in three of their last five games. 

New York’s Offense is Raking 

The New York Yankees are 25-14 this year and they have won five of their last six games. New York is coming off of a series win against the Astros, where they won two out of three games and scored 22 runs in the series. Prior to that series, the Yankees swept the Tigers in three games, lost three out of four against the Orioles, and won two out of three against Milwaukee. New York has won four of their last six series and they are second in the AL East, just a half game behind Baltimore. 

The New York pitching staff has a 2.99 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and a .218 opponent batting average. The Yankees offense has scored 188 runs with a .249 batting average and a .337 on base percentage. Juan Soto is batting .333 with nine home runs and 33 RBI’s for the Yankees this season. New York is second in the MLB in team ERA and they are sixth in runs scored, scoring at least five runs in four of their last five games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Taj Bradley, who is making his first start of the season. Bradley had a 5.59 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 104.2 innings pitched for the Rays last year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Clarke Schmidt, who is 3-1 with a 3.50 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 36.0 innings pitched this season. Schmidt has allowed one earned run in three of his last five starts, including 5.1 innings against Tampa Bay allowing just one earned run. 

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last six games as underdogs against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Yankees have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs against the Yankees following a home loss.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Rays have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last five games against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Rays have lost four of their last five night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in four of their last five games.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Tampa Bay Rays vs NY Yankees Prediction

Tampa Bay is starting to pick up some momentum after a slow start to the season, but I don’t love their pitching situation here. Bradley is making his first appearance of the season and he has to go against one of the most dangerous lineups in the MLB. For the Yankees, they are 12-8 on the road and they have Schmidt on the mound, who has been above average for them to start the year. The Rays are 13-10 at home, but I have to fade Taj Bradley in this spot. My Tampa Bay Rays vs NY Yankees prediction is for the Yankees to win by at least two runs.