MLB Picks

Twins vs Mets Prediction 4/14/25 MLB Picks Today

NY Mets (10-5) vs. Minnesota Twins (5-11)
April 14, 2025 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins -118 / NY Mets -102; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Twins vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Monday, April 14, at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets (10-5, 5-4 Away) lost the opening series of the season against the Astros but won the next four series over the Marlins, Blue Jays, Marlins, and Athletics. The Mets concluded the most recent series with an 8-0 win over the A’s; Mark Vientos and Luis Torrens led the team with two RBI apiece. Kodai Senga got the win after allowing no runs on four hits with four strikeouts and two walks in 7.0 innings of work.

This season, the Mets average 4.07 runs per game (15th in the MLB) on a .215/.302/.366 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 2.30 ERA (1st) and 1.19 WHIP (9th). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .321 batting average, four home runs, and 18 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Mets is Clay Holmes, who has a 1-1 record in three starts this year with a 4.30 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in 14.2 innings.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins (5-11, 2-4 Home) won just one series this season, and it was against the White Sox, while they lost to the Cardinals, Astros, Royals, and Tigers. The Twins did manage to avoid a series sweep against Detroit, thanks to a 5-1 win in Game 3. Simeon Woods-Richardson got the win after pitching for 5.0 innings, allowing one run on five hits with five strikeouts and no walks.

This year, the Twins average 3.44 runs per game (24th in the MLB) on a .208/.278/.335 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Twins’ staff has a 3.85 ERA (16th) and 1.21 WHIP (12th). Harrison Bader leads the Twins with a .209 batting average, three home runs, and ten RBI this season.

Joe Ryan will take the mound for the Twins on Monday. The 28-year-old right-hander has a 1-1 record in three starts this season with a 2.65 ERA and 0.71 WHIP in 17.0 innings.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Mets’ last five night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Twins’ last seven games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Mets’ last 10 games against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last five games as favorites against National League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Twins rank T27th in the league for walks this season (41).
  • The Twins rank T26th in the league for batting average this season (.208).
  • The Mets rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (41).
  • The Mets rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (4).

Twins vs Mets Prediction

The Mets won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including three of the last four. The Mets have a 4-11 Over/Under record this season, and I expect another low-scoring affair on Monday. Joe Ryan is the best pitcher the Twins have at the moment, following Pablo Lopez’s injury, and I can see him getting a quality start here. Clay Holmes didn’t have the best of starts last time out against the Marlins, and I am sure he’ll bounce back against low-scoring Twins. Go with Under.

Oliver Zivic's Free Pick: Under 8.5

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Oliver Zivic

Professional journalist and expert bettor with 20+ years of experience. I cover Football (soccer), NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB, CFB, and CBB.

Related Articles

Back to top button