Yankees vs Cubs Prediction 7/11/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 11th at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 52-41 this year after they swept Seattle in three games by scores of 10-3, 9-6, and 6-5. In their game three win, New York trailed 5-0 in the seventh inning, but they were able to tie the game and get the win in extra innings. The Yankees recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Wells, who went 1-3 with three RBIs in the win. New York started Stroman, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Williams picked up the win in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Yankees lost two out of three against the Mets and all four against the Blue Jays. New York has won four games in a row and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .224 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 487 runs with a .257 batting average and a .338 on base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with 34 home runs and 78 RBIs, while Jazz Chisholm has added 17 home runs and 43 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Carlos Rodon, who is 9-6 with a 3.30 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP over 111.2 innings pitched this year. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 55-38 this season after they lost two out of three against Minnesota by scores of 1-8 and 2-4, and 8-1. In their game three win, Chicago scored the first six runs in the game and they cruised to the easy win. The Cubs recorded 14 hits in the game and they were led by Crow-Armstrong, who went 3-4 with two home runs and three RBIs in the win. Chicago started Rea, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the win, while Keller and Palencia closed out the victory. 

Prior to that series, the Cubs won two out of three against the Cardinals and all three against the Guardians. Chicago has lost three of their last five games and they are currently first in the NL Central standings. The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 503 runs with a .257 batting average and a .326 on base percentage this season. Seiya Suzuki has led Chicago with 25 home runs and 77 RBIs, while Pete Crow-Armstrong has added 25 home runs and 70 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Chris Flexen, who is 5-0 with a 0.83 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP over 32.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Cubs will beat the Yankees

• The Cubs have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have lost four of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Cubs have covered the run line each of their last six night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Cubs have led after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against AL East opponents.
• The Cubs have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last 11 games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Cubs’ last eight games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last four games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Cubs’ last six games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Jazz Chisholm has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded seven or more strikeouts in nine of his last 12 appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances.
• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances with the Yankees as favorites.
• Aaron Judge ranks 1st in the league in Hits (122) this season.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Justin Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Justin Turner has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against the Yankees.
• Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last two night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (27) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (145).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.457).
• The Cubs rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (495).
• The Cubs rank 2nd in the league for RBIs this season (484).

Yankees vs Cubs Prediction 

New York comes into this series looking for their fifth straight win and their offense is getting hot, as they have scored 31 runs in their last four games. The Yankees are 29-17 at home this year, while the Cubs are 25-22 on the road. Chicago was able to avoid the sweep on Thursday afternoon and they are starting Flexen, who has allowed one earned run in his last 9.2 innings of work. New York is starting Rodon, who has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last five outings. This should be a great series to watch, but I think getting this Chicago offense at this price is too good to pass up. Take the Cubs here.