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Milwaukee Bucks vs. San Antonio Spurs Pick-Odds-Prediction 12/11/13

San Antonio Spurs (16-4) at Milwaukee Bucks (5-16)

NBA Basketball: Wednesday, December 11, 2013 at 8:00 pm (Bradley Center)

The Line: Milwaukee Bucks +10 -- Over/Under: 193 See the Latest Odds


The San Antonio Spurs look to continue their dominance over the Milwaukee Bucks tonight from the Bradley Center.

Head to head, the Spurs are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings while the favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The Bucks are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 home games playing on 0 days rest, 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600 and 2-43 ATS in their last 63 home games. The Spurs on the other hand are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games and 11-3 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record, but just 2- ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.

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Milwaukee Bucks vs. San Antonio Spurs Pick-Odds-Prediction 12/11/13

Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

The San Antonio Spurs do a lot of things very good, but one thing they have done as good as anyone in the league is crush bad teams at home and that was the case again last night as they recovered from a slow start to defeat the Toronto Raptors 116-103. Including last night’s game, they have also taken down Orlando, Memphis, Utah, Philly and New York this season by an average of 18.5 points per game. For reference, if the line was 10 points in all of those games I just mentioned (which is the line for this matchup), the Spurs would have covered in five of six as they only defeated the Jazz by 9 points. And let’s be honest, nearly every team on that list, barring maybe Utah, is better than the Milwaukee Bucks.

Speaking of the Bucks, they are also coming off a win last night, taking down a short-handed Chicago Bulls 78-74 for just their fifth win of the season. Milwaukee has now won two of three and are slowing starting to play better as they continue to get players back from injury. Both of their recent wins have come on the road and they have actually played better there than at home, where they have lost eight of 10 straight up and against the spread.

I really don’t see how anyone could take the Bucks here and feel confident about it. Sure they have won two of three, but I don’t think their win over the Bulls should be considered a good win at all. They were missing Rose, Butler, Deng and Noah. On the flipside, the Spurs routinely blow out bad teams on the road and guess what, Milwaukee is right at the bottom of that bad team list. It’s San Antonio or nothing here folks...

Dan’s Pick: San Antonio -10

Follow me on Twitter @Dan_SCP


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