NBA

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat NBA Picks, Odds, Predictions 5/29/2021

Milwaukee Bucks (49-26) vs. Miami Heat (40-35)
May 29, 2021 1:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat +5; Over/Under: -223.5
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The Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat meet Saturday in game four of the NBA East Playoffs at the AmericanAirlines Arena.  

The Milwaukee Bucks look to complete the sweep and advance to the next round. The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 118 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 96.3 points on 38 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 24.7 points and 16 rebounds while Khris Middleton is averaging 22 points and 4.7 assists. Jrue Holiday is the third double-digit scorer and Brook Lopez is grabbing 6.3 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 33.3 percent from beyond the arc and 73.2 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 33.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 60 rebounds per game.

The Miami Heat need a win to save their season and force a game five on Tuesday. The Miami Heat are averaging 96.3 points on 38 percent shooting and allowing 118 points on 47 percent shooting. Goran Dragic is averaging 17 points and 2.3 assists while Jimmy Butler is averaging 15.3 points and 6.7 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Duncan Robinson is grabbing three rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 33.6 percent from beyond the arc and 74.6 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.

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The Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Heat are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The over is 5-2 in Bucks last 7 overall. The over is 12-4 in Heat last 16 overall. The Bucks are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Miami.

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This looked like it had the potential to be the best opening series of the playoffs, but the Bucks have absolutely beatdown the Heat in the last two games. The Heat can’t find consistent offense due to the defense and length of the Bucks and it’s been some embarrassing performances. In fact, the Heat look like a team that’s ready for the season to end, as there’s very little emotion or aggressiveness on the court. I question how bad the Heat want to extend this series. I’ll lay the chalk with the Bucks, as the Heat have given me nothing through three games.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick:
Milwaukee Bucks -5
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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA.

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