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Thunder vs Warriors Pick – NBA Predictions & Odds 3/7/23

Golden State Warriors (34-31) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (30-34)
March 7, 2023 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder +4.5; Over/Under: +238.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Oklahoma City Thunder play host to the Golden State Warriors at the Paycom Center on Tuesday night.

The Golden State Warriors have been in fine form as they’ve won six of their last nine games overall, but they will be looking to bounce back in this one after having their five-game win streak snapped by the Lakers in a 113-105 road loss on Sunday. Stephen Curry led the team with 27 points and six assists, Klay Thompson added 22 points while Draymond Green chipped in with 15 points, eight rebounds and three assists. As a team, the Warriors shot just 39 precent from the field and 18 of 52 from the 3-point line as they poured in 36 points in the second quarter to overcome an early 20-point deficit, only to see their hard work go to waste in the third quarter where they managed just 18 points to allow the Lakers to take control again. Jordan Poole had a rough game of just 10 points on three of 11 shooting off the bench.

Meanwhile, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been in a rut as they’ve lost six of their last nine games overall, but they will be gunning for a third straight win after beating the Jazz in a 129-119 win on Sunday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 38 points, seven rebounds and four assists, Jalen Williams added 32 points with five assists while Josh Giddey tallied 24 points with nine rebounds and nine assists. As a team, the Thunder shot 50 percent from the field and 14 of 37 from the 3-point line as they jumped all over the Jazz from the start and dominated the first quarter by 35-20 and they just never looked back as they built a 24-point lead and never trailed in this one.  

Looking at the betting trends, the Warriors are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six road games, 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a loss and 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. The Thunder are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning record and 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games playing on one days rest.

Head to head, the under is 22-8 in the last 30 meetings overall, the Warriors are 18-7-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings overall and the Warriors are 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Oklahoma City.

The Warriors are shorthanded again as Andrew Wiggins is still out, while the Thunder are keeping an eye on Jalen Williams who is questionable due to a right wrist sprain. The Warriors had reeled off five straight wins before they lost to the Lakers in their last outing, but they do have Curry back in the lineup so it’s only a matter of time before they clicked back into gear. The Thunder are starting to turn things around again, but they are only 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning record, so I’ll stick with the Warriors to bounce back here.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Golden State -4.5

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Peter Tran

Professional NBA Handicapper at

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