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Cavaliers vs Heat Prediction 3/5/25 NBA Picks Today

Miami Heat (29-31) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (51-10)
March 5, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Cavaliers -11.5; Over/Under: 227
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Heat and Cleveland Cavaliers meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Rocket Arena. Here’s a Cavaliers vs Heat Prediction. This article will include a Cavaliers vs Heat Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat beat the Wizards, lost to the Knicks, and they play the Timberwolves, Bulls, and Hornets next. The Heat have won three of their last four games, but most of their recent wins have come against bottom-feeding teams.


The Miami Heat are averaging 110.3 points on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing 110.5 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.9 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Andrew Wiggins is averaging 17.8 points and 4.8 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rosier is grabbing 3.9 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 79.4 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.8 rebounds per game.

Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview

The Cleveland Cavaliers beat the Trail Blazers and Bulls, and they play the Hornets, Bucks, and Nets next. The Cavs have won 11 straight games and currently have the best record in the NBA. The Cavs are 28-4 SU at home this season.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging 123.3 points on 49.7 percent shooting and allowing 111.7 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Donovan Mitchell is averaging 24.3 points and 4.8 assists, while Darius Garland is averaging 21.2 points and 6.7 assists. Evan Mobley is the third double-digit scorer and Jarrett Allen is grabbing 10.2 rebounds. The Cleveland Cavaliers are shooting 39.4 percent from beyond the arc and 78.9 percent from the free throw line. The Cleveland Cavaliers are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.4 rebounds per game.

Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win

  • The Cavaliers have won each of their last 11 games.
  • The Heat have lost each of their last six road games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The home team has covered the spread in each of the Heat’s last six games.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six road games against teams that held a winning record.

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Heat have won each of their last three games as road underdogs against the Cavaliers.
  • The Cavaliers have lost 14 of their last 16 games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Heat.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Heat.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for points per game this season (123.3).
  • The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for three-point percentage this season (39.4%).
  • The Heat rank 30th in the league for blocks per game this season (3.8).
  • The Heat rank 1st in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (14.1).

Cavaliers vs Heat Injury Report

Evan Mobley is questionable for the Cavs after taking a rest day last night.

The Miami Heat will be without Nikola Jovic, Kel’el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, and Dru Smith. Davion Mitchell is questionable for the Heat with a quad injury.

Cavaliers vs Heat Prediction

The Heat have an edge with the rest advantage, but they’ve also had issues competing with the big boys this season, and they’re undermanned with so many injuries. The Cavs may be on the end of a back-to-back, but they have 51 wins on the season and 40 covers. The Cavs have a cover percentage of 66.6 percent, which is the best in the NBA. If it’s not broken, don’t fix it. The Cavs beat the Heat a little over a month ago on the road by 20 points. The Heat had Jovic, Ware, and JJJ in that game, which won’t be the case tonight. I’ll keep riding the Cavs, as they continue to cash tickets better than any team in the league.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers -11.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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