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Mavericks vs Lakers Prediction 4/5/26 NBA Picks Today
LA Lakers (50-27) vs. Dallas Mavericks (24-53)
April 5, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Mavericks +1.5; Over/Under: 232.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Los Angeles Lakers travel to the American Airlines Center to battle the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday night. Here’s a Mavericks vs. Lakers Prediction. This article will include a Mavericks vs. Lakers Pick.
Los Angeles Lakers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Lakers have been in great form as they’ve won 16 of their last 19 games overall, but they are looking to bounce back in this one after having their four-game win streak halted by the Thunder in a 139-96 road defeat on Thursday. Austin Reaves led the team with 15 points, and LeBron James added 13 points while Luka Doncic scored just 12 points and seven assists. As a team, the Lakers shot 43 percent from the field and seven of 30 from the 3-point line as they started the game flat and quickly found themselves in deep trouble after getting outscored by 82-51 in the first half. Rui Hachimura had a quiet game of just four points on two of nine shots while Bronny James finished with 10 points.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks have been in a major slump as they’ve lost 17 of their last 20 games overall and they will be hoping to snap a three-game skid after getting routed by the Magic in a 138-127 loss on Friday. Cooper Flagg led the team with a career-high 51 points on 19 of 39 shooting; Brandon Williams added 23 points and five assists off the bench, while Klay Thompson chipped in with 18 points. As a team, the Mavericks shot 46 percent from the field and 14 of 42 from the 3-point line as they had no answers on defense for the Magic and fell behind by as many as 30 points before they finished with a flurry to keep the final margin respectable.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The home team has won each of the Lakers’ last four games.
- The Lakers have lost three of their last four games at American Airlines Center when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Lakers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last six Sunday night games at American Airlines Center.
Why the Los Angeles Lakers will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last 19 night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Lakers have won each of their last 13 games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Lakers have covered the spread in each of their last six games as road favorites against Southwest Division opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Lakers’ last nine Sunday games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Mavericks’ last four games as underdogs following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
Dallas Mavericks Player Facts
- Daniel Gafford is one of only two players to have made 10+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.
- Klay Thompson ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.8) this season.
Los Angeles Lakers Player Facts
- Luke Kennard ranks 1st amongst qualified players for 3P% (48.7%) this season.
- LeBron James ranks 1st amongst qualified players for fast break points per game (5.6) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (93.8).
- The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (46.7).
- The Lakers rank 1st in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (3.5).
- The Lakers rank 1st in the league for field goal percentage this season (50.1%).
Mavericks vs Lakers Prediction
The Lakers are still missing Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves and Luka Doncic, with Jarred Vanderbilt listed as questionable, while the Mavericks have ruled out Caleb Martin, Marvin Bagley III, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II and Tyler Smith. These teams have already met three times this season, with the Lakers winning all three games, but the Lakers are missing a bunch of players this time round. The Lakers’ injuries open the door for the Mavericks at home, but I still think the Lakers have enough firepower to snag a narrow win on the road in this spot.