Milwaukee Bucks (16-20) vs. Golden State Warriors (19-18)
January 7, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Golden State Warriors -5.5; Over/Under: 229.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Golden State Warriors play host to the Milwaukee Bucks at the Chase Center on Wednesday night. Here’s a Warriors vs Bucks Prediction. This article will include a Warriors vs Bucks Pick.
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Bucks have been in pretty good form lately as they’ve won five of their last seven games overall. They will be aiming for a third straight victory after blowing past the Kings in a 115-98 road win on Sunday. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team with 37 points and 11 rebounds on 13 of 17 shooting, Kevin Porter Jr added 25 points with 10 assists while Myles Turner chipped in with 15 points, five rebounds and two blocks. As a team, the Bucks shot 45 percent from the field and 10 of 37 from the 3-point line as they took control of the contest with a 34-18 second quarter to open up a 26-point lead. This was always more than enough to hold off the slumping Kings.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors have been in pretty good form as they’ve won six of their last nine games overall. They will be looking to bounce back in this one after falling just short to the Clippers in a 103-102 road defeat on Monday. Stephen Curry led the team with 27 points and six assists, Jimmy Butler III added 24 points while Gary Payton II chipped in with 14 points, but no other player scored more than six points. As a team, the Warriors shot just 38 percent from the field and 10 of 41 from the 3-point line as they scored just 13 points in the third quarter to fall behind by 14 points. This was a shame because they exploded for 38 points in the fourth quarter to cut the deficit to just one point on two occasions.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Warriors have won each of their last 10 home games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Bucks have lost eight of their last nine road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last six home games against the Bucks.
- The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games against Warriors teams that held a winning record.
Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win
- The Bucks have won three of their last four games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.
- The Warriors have lost five of their last six Wednesday games as favorites.
- The Bucks have covered the spread in each of their last eight Wednesday games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight night games at Chase Center.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Bucks’ last five road games against Pacific Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Warriors’ last four games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Golden State Warriors Player Facts
- Stephen Curry ranks 1st amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (4.8) this season.
- Al Horford has made the equal-most free-throws without a miss (10) of any player in the league this season.
Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts
- Kevin Porter Jr. has recorded 10+ assists in two consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
- Bobby Portis ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for 3P% (47.3%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (43.8).
- The Warriors rank 30th in the league for Q1 points per game this season (26.8).
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (8.6).
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for free throw percentage this season (74.1%).
Warriors vs Bucks Prediction
The Bucks are coming in with a full squad for this one except for Taurean Prince, while the Warriors have ruled out Seth Curry, with Draymond Green and Gary Payton II both listed as questionable. The Bucks have had their struggles this season, but they are healthy right now, and they are coming into this one with plenty of winning momentum. You could say the same about the Warriors, who were playing well before their narrow loss on Monday. It’s hard to split these two teams at the moment, but I am expecting a close contest, so I will lean towards the Bucks with points in this spot.
