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Warriors vs Kings Prediction 1/9/26 NBA Picks Today
Sacramento Kings (8-29) vs. Golden State Warriors (20-18)
January 9, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Golden State Warriors -13.5; Over/Under: 230.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Sacramento Kings and the Golden State Warriors do battle at the Chase Center on Friday night. Here’s a Warriors vs Kings Prediction. This article will include a Warriors vs Kings Pick.
Sacramento Kings Betting Preview
The Sacramento Kings have been in a major slump as they’ve lost 12 of their last 14 games overall. They will be hoping to put an end to a six-game losing streak after falling just short to the Mavericks in a 100-98 loss on Tuesday. DeMar DeRozan led the team with 21 points and five assists, Zach LaVine added 20 points while Maxime Raynaud chipped in with 14 points on six of seven shooting. As a team, the Kings shot 42 percent from the field and nine of 31 from the 3-point line as they stormed out of the gates with 35 points in the first quarter to take an early 12-point lead. But they couldn’t maintain that pace and scored just 40 points in the entire second half to allow the Mavericks to snatch the lead away with just 33.9 seconds on the clock.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors have been in pretty good form lately as they’ve won seven of their past 10 games overall and they will be eager to maintain that momentum after taking down the Bucks in a 120-113 win on Wednesday. Stephen Curry led the team with 31 points, six rebounds and seven assists, De’Anthony Melton added 22 points on eight of 12 shooting off the bench while Jimmy Butler III chipped in with 21 points. As a team, the Warriors shot 49 percent from the field and 18 of 47 from the 3-point line as they took control of the contest with a 15-4 run to open the second quarter. Before they poured in 34 points in the third quarter to lead by as many as 17 points, which was enough to hold off a late rally from the Bucks.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Warriors have won each of their last 11 home games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Kings have lost each of their last 10 road games following a home loss.
- The Kings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven road games against Pacific Division opponents following a loss.
- The favorites have covered the spread in five of the Kings’ last six games.
Why the Sacramento Kings will win
- The Warriors have lost six of their last eight games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents following a win.
- The Kings have won each of their last four games when playing with a rest advantage against the Warriors.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 night games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Kings have covered the spread in six of their last seven games as road underdogs against the Warriors following a loss.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the last eight games between the Kings and Warriors have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Kings’ last three games at Chase Center have gone OVER the total points line.
Golden State Warriors Player Facts
- Stephen Curry ranks 1st amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (4.7) this season.
- Draymond Green is one of only eight qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds (5.8) and assists (5.4) per game this season.
Sacramento Kings Player Facts
- Keon Ellis ranks 4th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.5) this season.
- Russell Westbrook is one of only eight qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds (6.6) and assists (6.8) per game this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (43.9).
- The Warriors rank 30th in the league for Q1 points per game this season (26.9).
- The Kings rank 30th in the league for point differential per game this season (-11.7).
- The Kings rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (49.5%).
Warriors vs Kings Prediction
The Kings are still missing Domantas Sabonis and Keegan Murray, while the Warriors have ruled out Seth Curry once again. The Kings could really do with a win just for their own confidence, but they are mired in their worst slump of the season. They have now lost six in a row after losing a tough game to the Mavericks on Tuesday. In contrast, the Warriors have turned their season around lately, they are getting healthy again, and they looked solid in their win over the Bucks. The Warriors were always going to be double-digit favorites at home in this matchup, but while I still have them winning comfortably, the Kings have a knack of hanging around. I think they can get a backdoor cover in this spot.