Miami Heat (26-29) vs. Atlanta Hawks (26-31)
February 24, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Hawks +1; Over/Under: 226.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Heat pay a visit to the Atlanta Hawks at the State Farm Arena on Monday night. Here’s a Hawks vs Heat Prediction. This article will include a Hawks vs Heat Pick.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat have been in a slump as they’ve lost five of their last six games overall, and they will be hoping to bounce back after getting beaten by the Bucks in a 120-113 road defeat last night. Tyler Herro led the team with 40 points, seven rebounds, and 11 assists, Bam Adebayo added 24 points on 10 of 16 shooting while Andrew Wiggins chipped in with 20 points, six rebounds, and four assists. As a team, the Heat shot 46 percent from the field and nine of 31 from the 3-point line as they stormed out of the gates with 37 points in the first quarter to take a 14-point lead. The Heat couldn’t put the Bucks away, and it cost them in the fourth quarter where they got outscored by 35-20 to suffer another disappointing defeat.
Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Atlanta Hawks have been in terrible form as they’ve lost 12 of their last 16 games overall and they will be hoping to snap a three-game skid after falling short to the Pistons in a tough 148-143 home defeat last night. Trae Young led the team with 38 points and 13 assists, Dyson Daniels added 24 points with six assists and four steals, Georges Niang added 27 points off the bench, while Zaccharie Risacher chipped in with 19 points. As a team, the Hawks shot 50 percent from the field and a sizzling 21 of 45 from the 3-point line as they fought their way back from an early 12-point deficit to take the lead late in the fourth quarter. The Pistons closed the final 33 seconds on a 9-3 run to snatch the game away in a heartbreaking finish.
Why the Atlanta Hawks will win
- The Hawks have won eight of their last 10 games as home underdogs following a home loss.
- The Heat have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
- The Hawks has covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games with both teams on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Heat have won each of their last six road games against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record.
- The Hawks have lost each of their last six home games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last six games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Hawks.
- The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five home games on the second leg of a back-to-back against Eastern Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Hawks’ last eight home games against Southeast Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Twelve of the Heat’s last 14 games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
Hawks vs Heat Prediction
The Heat are still shorthanded with Kevin Love and Nikola Jovic still out, while the Hawks have ruled out Larry Nance Jr and Jalen Johnson once again. This matchup is usually a great divisional battle, but you just can’t trust either team at the moment given their recent struggles. The Heat were more than competitive in their narrow loss to the Bucks last night, while the Hawks seemingly had the game won until they lost the lead in the final seconds. This is a real coin flip, but I think the Hawks were unlucky now to beat the Pistons last night, and I am backing them to make up for it with a gritty win in this spot.
