Atlanta Hawks (27-31) vs. Miami Heat (26-30)
February 26, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat -2.5; Over/Under: 229.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Atlanta Hawks pay a visit to the Miami Heat at the Kaseya Center on Wednesday night. Here’s a Heat vs Hawks Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Hawks Pick.
Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview
The Atlanta Hawks have been doing it tough lately as they were riding a three-game skid before they snapped out of it with a 98-86 win over the Heat on Monday. Onyeka Okongwu led the team with 17 points with eight rebounds and three assists, Caris LeVert and Terance Mann each scored 15 points off the bench while Trae Young chipped in with 11 points and 14 assists. As a team, the Hawks shot 45 percent from the field and nine of 35 from the 3-point line. But this win was more about their defense as they kept the Heat in check from the start which allowed the Hawks to just pull away as the game wore on. Trae Young shot just four of 14 from the field and zero of seven from the 3-point line while Zaccharie Risacher shot just one of eight from the field for his two points. The Hawks will meet the Thunder after this game.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been in a real slump as they’ve lost six of their last seven games overall and they will be hoping to avoid a third straight defeat after getting routed by the Hawks on Monday. Andrew Wiggins led the team with 23 points and three blocks, Bam Adebayo and Kyle Anderson scored 14 points each while Tyler Herro scored just 11 points. As a team, the Heat shot a miserable 32 percent from the field and seven of 40 from the 3-point line as they struggled against the defense of the Hawks from the start. They could never get out of second gear in one of their worst offensive performances of the season. Herro had a rough game as he shot just four of 19 from the field and zero of nine from the 3-point line, while Alec Burks shot just one of 12 from the field for his five points. The Heat will face the Pacers following this one.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Heat have won each of their last seven games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
- The Hawks have lost six of their last seven games at Kaseya Center following a win.
- The Heat have covered the spread in six of their last seven games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
- The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games at Kaseya Center following a win.
Why the Atlanta Hawks will win
- The Hawks have won each of their last eight games against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
- The Heat have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
- The Hawks have covered the spread in each of their last five road games.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the Heat’s last nine home games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Eight of the Hawks’ last nine games at Kaseya Center have gone UNDER the total points line.
Heat vs Hawks Prediction
The Hawks are still missing Larry Nance Jr and Jalen Johnson, while the Heat are keeping an eye on Bam Adebayo, who is listed as questionable due to a right calf contusion. The Hawks were able to keep the Heat quiet all game on Monday to come away with the gritty home win, but it’s going to be tough to replicate that effort now that they are playing in Miami. I expect the Heat to come out swinging, but I think we are going to see a similar result, especially if Adebayo isn’t able to suit up for the Heat. I see why the Heat are slight favorites, but I like the Hawks to pull off the minor upset in this one.
