Heat vs Warriors Prediction 3/25/25 NBA Picks Today

The Golden State Warriors and Miami Heat meet Tuesday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Warriors Pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors beat the Raptors, lost to the Hawks, and they play the Pelicans, Spurs, and Grizzlies next. The Warriors look to avoid back-to-back losses for the first time since February 5-6. Five of the Warriors’ last six losses have come on the road.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 113.4 points on 45 percent shooting and allowing 110.9 points on 46.4 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 24.2 points and 6 assists, while Jimmy Butler averages 17.6 points and 6.5 assists. Jonathan Kuminga is the third double-digit scorer and Buddy Hield is grabbing 3.2 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 36.3 percent from beyond the arc and 75.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.6 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat lost to the Rockets, beat the Hornets, and they play the Hawks, 76ers, and Wizards next. The Heat look to win back-to-back games for the first time since February 26-28. The Heat are currently the 10th seed in the East.

The Miami Heat are averaging 109.2 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 110.6 points on 46.6 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.5 points and 5.3 rebounds, while Andrew Wiggins is averaging 21 points and 3.9 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 79.2 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The home team has won seven of the Warriors’ last eight games.
• The Warriors have lost five of their last nine games as road favorites against Southeast Division opponents following a loss.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of the Heat’s last five games.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Heat have lost each of their last nine games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Warriors have won each of their last six games when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last eight games as road favorites after losing as favorites.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as home underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a win.

Heat vs Warriors Injury Report

The Miami Heat will be without Nikola Jovic and Dru Smith. Duncan Robinson is questionable due to a back injury.

Stephen Curry is questionable for the Warriors due to a pelvis injury.

Heat vs Warriors Prediction

The Heat have been horrendous this month, and a win over the Hornets doesn’t change much. The Heat are constantly blowing double-digit leads, making weird lineup rotations, and looking like one of the stupider teams in the league. The Warriors have been great since the addition of Jimmy Butler, and you know they’ll be up for this one, as it’s his first game back in Miami.

I don’t think it’s a coincidence that Curry is questionable after it looked like he was going to miss weeks. The Warriors want to win this game for Butler. Whether Curry plays or not, the Heat looks extremely unserious and isn’t a team I have any confidence in. The line is reasonable. Give me the Warriors in this revenge spot.