Washington Wizards (17-64) vs. Miami Heat (37-44)
April 13, 2025 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat ; Over/Under:
(Get latest betting odds)
The Washington Wizards and Miami Heat meet Sunday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs Wizards Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Wizards Pick.
Washington Wizards Betting Preview
The Washington Wizards lost to the Pacers, 76ers, and Bulls. The Wizards have lost five straight games and will miss the playoffs for a fourth straight season.
The Washington Wizards are averaging 107.9 points on 43.8 percent shooting and allowing 120.5 points on 47 percent shooting. Jordan Poole is averaging 20.5 points and 3 rebounds, while Malcolm Brogdon is averaging 12.7 points and 4.1 assists. Bilal Coulibaly is the third double-digit scorer, and Alex Sarr is grabbing 6.7 rebounds. The Washington Wizards are shooting 33.4 percent from beyond the arc and 77.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Washington Wizards are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.7 rebounds per game.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat recently played the Bulls, 76ers, and Pelicans. The Heat have split their last six games and will play the Bulls in the play-in tournament.
The Miami Heat are averaging 110.5 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 109.9 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.9 points and 5.2 rebounds, while Andrew Wiggins is averaging 19 points and 4.2 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Duncan Robinson is grabbing 2.3 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.8 percent from beyond the arc and 79.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.4 rebounds per game.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Wizards have lost 23 of their last 24 road games following a road loss.
- The Heat have won 19 of their last 20 home games against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
- The Heat have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games following a win.
- The Wizards have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
Why the Washington Wizards will win
- The road team has won six of the Heat’s last eight games.
- The Heat have lost three of their last four day games against Southeast Division opponents.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four day games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Wizards have covered the spread in three of their last four games against the Heat following a road loss.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Heat rank 30th in the league for blocks per game this season (3.8).
- The Heat rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (13.9).
- The Wizards rank 30th in the league for point differential per game this season (-12.6).
- The Wizards rank 30th in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (48.9).
Heat vs Wizards Injury Report
The Miami Heat will be without Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Alec Burks, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Kevin Love, and Dru Smith.
The Washington Wizards will be without Saddiq Bey, Kyshawn George, Bilal Coulibaly, Marcus Smart, Corey Kispert, Khris Middleton, and Malcolm Brogdon.
Heat vs Wizards Prediction
The Heat are going to sit all of their key players given they have a play-in matchup on Wednesday. I’m still siding with the home team. The Wizards have been in tank mode all year, which includes constant bad losses. The Wizards are 33-47-1 ATS on the season despite being big underdogs. The Heat are also one of those hard-wired teams that compete regardless of who is on the court. We’ve seen the Heat play hard and have success in summer league and preseason. It often feels like Spo likes games like this. It’s a new challenge and far less pressure with your normal roster available. Give me the Heat and whatever the line is.
