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Kings vs Thunder Prediction 3/25/25 NBA Picks Today
Oklahoma City Thunder (59-12) vs. Sacramento Kings (35-35)
March 25, 2025 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Sacramento Kings +9.5; Over/Under: 230
(Get latest betting odds)
The Oklahoma City Thunder and the Sacramento Kings duke it out at the Golden 1 Center on Tuesday night. Here’s a Kings vs Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Kings vs Thunder Pick.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been on a tear as they’ve won 13 of their last 14 games overall, and they will be gunning for a seventh straight victory after outlasting the Clippers in a 103-101 road win on Sunday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 26 points and eight assists, Aaron Wiggins added 19 points off the bench while Isaiah Hartenstein tallied 14 points with 10 rebounds and six assists. As a team, the Thunder shot just 40 percent from the field and 12 of 35 from the 3-point line as they battled with the Clippers in a tight contest that could’ve gone either way, until the Thunder closed the final 1:54 on a 6-2 run to escape with the gritty win behind their defense. Gilgeous-Alexander had a poor shooting night as he made just seven of 29 from the field, while Isaiah Joe finished scoreless in 20 minutes off the bench. The Thunder will play against the Grizzlies following this one.
Sacramento Kings Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Sacramento Kings have been in an ugly slump as they’ve lost seven of their last nine games overall. They will be hoping to snap a three-game skid after getting beaten by the Celtics in a 113-95 home defeat last night. DeMar DeRozan led the team with 20 points and 10 assists, Domantas Sabonis tallied 16 points with 17 rebounds, while Zach LaVine chipped in with 14 points. As a team, the Kings shot 45 percent from the field and eight of 24 from the 3-point line as they did a decent job of hanging with the Celtics in a tightly contested first half. Only to go ice-cold and score just 17 points in the fourth quarter to get blown out in the end. All five starters finished in double figures in scoring for the Kings, but they didn’t have a single reserve player score more than eight points. The Kings will meet the Trail Blazers after this game.
Why the Sacramento Kings will win
- The Thunder have lost each of their last eight road games against Pacific Division opponents after winning as underdogs.
- The Kings have won seven of their last eight games against the Thunder at Golden 1 Center.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games against Pacific Division opponents after winning as underdogs.
- The Kings have covered the spread in five of their last six games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 22 games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Kings have lost each of their last eight games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Thunder.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last seven road games.
- The Kings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Kings rank 30th in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (38.4%).
- The Kings rank 2nd in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (10.0).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+12.9).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for steals per game this season (10.5).
Kings vs Thunder Prediction
The Thunder have ruled out Ousmane Dieng once again, and they have Chet Holmgren listed as questionable, while the Kings have ruled out Malik Monk and Doug McDermott once again. The Thunder have been the hottest team in the league, and they must be full of confidence after they took down the Clippers despite a poor shooting night. In contrast, the Kings have really struggled lately and are now playing their second game of a back-to-back set after getting routed by the Celtics last night. The line was always going to be hefty, but the Thunder have the advantage of extra rest, and I think they get a comfortable win and cover behind their elite defense.