Mavericks vs Nuggets Prediction 1/12/25 NBA Picks Today
Denver Nuggets (22-15) vs. Dallas Mavericks (22-16)
January 12, 2025 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Mavericks +4.5; Over/Under: 229
(Get latest betting odds)
The Denver Nuggets and Dallas Mavericks meet Sunday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Mavericks vs Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Mavericks vs Nuggets Pick.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets beat the Clippers and Nets, and they play the Rockets, Heat, and Magic next. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 120.6 points on 49.9 percent shooting and allowing 116.5 points on 46.4 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 31.6 points and 13 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 19 points and 4 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Christian Braun is grabbing 4.7 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38.2 percent from beyond the arc and 76.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.3 rebounds per game.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks beat the Lakers and Trail Blazers, and they play the Pelicans, Thunder, and Hornets next. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 116.5 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 111.8 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 28.1 points and 7.8 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 24.3 points and 4.6 rebounds. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and PJ Washington is grabbing 7.7 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 37.5 percent from beyond the arc and 77.6 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.2 rebounds per game.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Nuggets have lost six of their last seven games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
- The Mavericks have won five of their last six games as home underdogs.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last five games when playing with a rest advantage against the Nuggets.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Nuggets have won eight of their last nine day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Mavericks have lost five of their last six day games following a home win.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games following a home win.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in five of their last six games as favorites.
Dallas Mavericks Player Facts
- Dereck Lively II ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Blocks Per Game (1.7) this season.
- P.J. Washington is one of only seven qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals, and 1.0 blocks this season.
Denver Nuggets Player Facts
- Christian Braun ranks 1st in the league for fast break points (185) this season.
- Michael Porter Jr. ranks 25th amongst qualified players for FG% (52.1%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for Q4 points per game this season (29.3).
- The Dallas Mavericks are one of only three teams to win a road game against the Thunder this season.
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (31.5).
- The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for opponent assists per game this season (29.4).
Mavericks vs Nuggets Prediction
I’m seeing Jokic and Murray on the injury report for the Nuggets, but the fact this line is what it is suggests they’re both going to play. The Dallas Mavericks are coming off back-to-back wins, which includes a ridiculous comeback against the Trail Blazers, but I still don’t have much interest in them without Luka and Kyrie. The Denver Nuggets have won six of their last eight games, and they’ve covered six of those games as well. This is the best ball the Nuggets have played all season, and it wouldn’t be shocking to see it continue. Russell Westbrook has gotten comfortable in his role and the Nuggets are rolling. With the Mavs down their two best players, it’s hard to step in front of the Nuggets. I’ll lay the points with the Nuggets on the road.