Phoenix Suns (29-34) vs. Dallas Mavericks (32-32)
March 9, 2025 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Mavericks +7; Over/Under: 228.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Phoenix Suns and Dallas Mavericks meet Sunday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Mavericks vs Suns Prediction. This article will include a Mavericks vs Suns Pick.
Phoenix Suns Betting Preview
The Phoenix Suns lost to the Nuggets, beat the Clippers, and they play the Grizzlies, Rockets, and Kings next. The Suns have lost 12 of their last 16 games and are now 2.5 games out of a play-in spot.
The Phoenix Suns are averaging 114.3 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 116.5 points on 46.6 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 26.9 points and 6.1 rebounds, while Devin Booker is averaging 26 points and 4 rebounds. Bradley Beal is the third double-digit scorer and Grayson Allen is grabbing 3.2 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 37.9 percent from beyond the arc and 80.5 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 36.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.6 rebounds per game.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Bucks and Grizzlies, and they play the Spurs, Rockets, and 76ers next. The Mavs have lost six of their last seven games, and they’ve lost four straight games overall.
The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 114.5 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 114.1 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 26 points and 7 assists, while Kai Jones is averaging 21 points and 8 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer and Klay Thompson is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 36.8 percent from beyond the arc and 77.5 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.8 rebounds per game.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Mavericks have won each of their last nine home games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Suns have lost each of their last seven road games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last six games on the first leg of a back-to-back against the Suns.
- The Suns have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
Why the Phoenix Suns will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last six day games against Pacific Division opponents.
- The favorites have won each of the Mavericks’ last eight games.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six day games against Pacific Division opponents.
- The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Mavericks’ last four games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Mavericks’ last six games against Western Conference opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of the Suns’ last eight road games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Mavericks vs Suns Injury Report
The Mavs will be without Dereck Lively II, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Kai Jones, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Anthony Davis, Jaden Hardy, and PJ Washington. Dante Exum and Caleb Martin are questionable.
The Suns will be without Cody Martin, while Monte Morris is questionable.
Mavericks vs Suns Prediction
I’ve been fading the Suns all season long, as they’re an underachieving bunch that has a 37.1 cover percentage. Only the 76ers are worse at covering numbers in the NBA this season. However, the Mavericks are as banged up as any team in league history, and it’s taking its toll. The Mavs have lost four straight games, and they’re losing those games by an average of 20 points.
There’s only so much a team can overcome. At some point, you just don’t have enough bodies to compete night tonight. The Mavericks are at that point. Even the Suns should get in on the party of beating up on the Mavs, and they have no choice if they’re interested in sneaking into the play-in tournament. I’ll lay the points with the Suns on Sunday.
