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Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Prediction 11-4-24 NBA Picks

Sacramento Kings (3-3) vs. Miami Heat (3-2)
November 4, 2024 8:15 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat -2.5; Over/Under: +223.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Sacramento Kings and Miami Heat meet Monday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Pick.

Sacramento Kings Betting Preview

The Sacramento Kings beat the Hawks, lost to the Raptors, and they play the Raptors and Clippers next. The Sacramento Kings are averaging 119.5 points on 48.3 percent shooting and allowing 114.8 points on 45.8 percent shooting. DeMar DeRozan is averaging 25.3 points and 4.5 rebounds, while De’Aaron Fox is averaging 23.5 points and 5.2 rebounds. Domantas Sabonis is the third double-digit scorer and Keegan Murray is grabbing 8 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 32.5 percent from beyond the arc and 83.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.2 rebounds per game.


Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat beat the Wizards, lost to the Knicks, and they play the Suns and Nuggets next. The Miami Heat are averaging 108.4 points on 43.3 percent shooting and allowing 106.8 points on 43 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 20.8 points and 5 rebounds, while Terry Rozier is averaging 17.2 points and 4.6 rebounds. Jimmy Butler is the third double-digit scorer and Bam Adebayo is grabbing 8.6 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37.5 percent from beyond the arc and 72 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.4 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Injury Report

Kevin Huerter is questionable for the Kings. The Heat don’t have any players on their injury report.

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Kings have lost each of their last 14 games at Kaseya Center following a loss.
  • The Heat have won each of their last six night games against the Kings.
  • The Kings have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven road games against Southeast Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in four of their last five night games against the Kings.

Miami Heat Player Facts

  • Jimmy Butler ranks 6th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.8) this season.
  • Terry Rozier ranks T13th amongst qualified players for FT% (92.9%) this season.

Sacramento Kings Player Facts

  • Domantas Sabonis ranks T1st amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (13.0) this season.
  • De’Aaron Fox ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for steals per game (2.5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Heat rank 30th in the league for Q3 points per game this season (22.8).
  • The Heat rank 30th for points in the paint (214) this season.
  • The Kings rank 1st in the league for free throw percentage this season (83.2%).
  • The Kings rank 2nd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (3.3).

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Prediction

The Sacramento Kings have the better offense and that makes them attractive as an underdog, but they also haven’t played much defense, and it’s led to questionable results. The Miami Heat have quietly won three of their last four games, and they’re as healthy as they’ve been all year. Kevin Love and Duncan Robinson are expected to be active. At home, I’ll lay the bucket with the Heat. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Heat -2.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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