Toronto Raptors (7-18) vs. Miami Heat (12-10)
December 12, 2024 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat -10.5; Over/Under: +225
(Get latest betting odds)
The Toronto Raptors and Miami Heat meet Thursday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Pick.
Toronto Raptors Betting Preview
The Toronto Raptors lost to the Knicks and Mavericks, and they play the Bulls, Nets and Rockets next. The Toronto Raptors are averaging 112.3 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 117.2 points on 46.3 percent shooting. RJ Barrett is averaging 23.6 points and 6.6 rebounds, while Scottie Barnes is averaging 20.6 points and 8.4 rebounds. Gradey Dick is the third double-digit scorer, and Jakob Poeltl is dishing 2.8 assists. The Toronto Raptors are shooting 34.1 percent from beyond the arc and 74.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Toronto Raptors are allowing 35.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.3 rebounds per game.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat beat the Cavs and Suns, and they play the Pistons, Thunder and Magic next. The Miami Heat are averaging 112.3 points on 45.2 percent shooting and allowing 109.3 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 24.2 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Jimmy Butler is averaging 19 points and 5.4 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 38.3 percent from beyond the arc and 78.3 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.5 rebounds per game.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Raptors have lost each of their last nine road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The home team has won each of the Heat’s last six games.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of the Heat’s last seven games.
- The Raptors have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games when playing with a rest disadvantage against the Heat.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Raptors’ last six games against Southeast Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of the Heat’s last eight games as favorites following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
Miami Heat Player Facts
- Tyler Herro ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made Per Game (4.2) this season.
- Bam Adebayo ranks 5th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (10.1) this season.
Toronto Raptors Player Facts
- Jakob Poeltl ranks 1st in the league for second chance points (106) this season.
- RJ Barrett ranks 2nd in the league for fast break points (119) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Heat rank 30th in the league for blocks per game this season (3.6).
- The Heat rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (18.1).
- The Raptors rank 30th in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (21.2).
- The Raptors rank 30th in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (27.0).
Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Prediction
The Miami Heat are playing their best ball of the season and should be big favorites against a Raptors team that keeps losing and is now banged up again. Barnes getting hurt again doesn’t help. With all that said, the Heat are known for playing down to their competition, and they’re 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a double-digit favorite. The Heat just don’t have many easy games. Also, there’s now Butler rumors circulating, which only causes distractions. Give me the Raptors and the points.
