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Raptors vs Warriors Prediction 12/28/25 NBA Picks Today

Golden State Warriors (16-15) vs. Toronto Raptors (18-14)
December 28, 2025 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Raptors +4.5; Over/Under: 223.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Golden State Warriors and Toronto Raptors meet Sunday in NBA action at the Scotiabank Arena. Here’s a Raptors vs Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Raptors vs Warriors Pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors beat the Mavs and Magic, and they’ll play the Nets next. The Warriors have won 3 straight games.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 114.6 points on 45.2 percent shooting and allowing 112.4 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 28.7 points and 4.3 assists, while Jimmy Butler averages 19.9 points and 4.7 assists. Brandin Podziemski is the third double-digit scorer, and Jonathan Kuminga is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 81.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 33.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44 rebounds per game.

Toronto Raptors Betting Preview

The Toronto Raptors lost to the Wizards, beat the Heat, and they play the Magic next. The Raptors have lost 9 of their last 13 games.

The Toronto Raptors are averaging 113.5 points on 47.7 percent shooting and allowing 111.7 points on 46.8 percent shooting. Brandon Ingram is averaging 21.7 points and 5.8 rebounds, while RJ Barrett is averaging 19.4 points and 4.8 rebounds. Scottie Barnes is the third double-digit scorer, and Immanuel Quickly is dishing 6.4 assists. The Toronto Raptors are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 77.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Toronto Raptors are allowing 34 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Toronto Raptors will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the Raptors’ last four games.
  • The Warriors have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Raptors have covered the spread in each of their last six games against the Warriors after losing as favorites.
  • The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

  • The Raptors have lost each of their last nine games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
  • The road team has won eight of the Raptors’ last 10 games.
  • The Raptors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight home games following a loss.
  • The Warriors have covered the spread in 11 of their last 12 games on the first leg of a back-to-back against Eastern Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Eight of the Warriors’ last nine road games following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Raptors’ last five day games at Scotiabank Arena have gone OVER the total points line.

Toronto Raptors Player Facts

  • Immanuel Quickley has recorded 31 games with 3+ assists this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
  • Scottie Barnes rank 1st amongst qualified players for steals + blocks per game (2.8) this season.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

  • Stephen Curry ranks 1st amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (4.8) this season.
  • Draymond Green is one of only nine qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds (6.0) and assists (5.0) per game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Raptors rank 1st in the league for Q3 win percentage this season (68.8%).
  • The Raptors rank 1st for fast break points (605) this season.
  • The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (15.8).
  • The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (44.0).

Raptors vs Warriors Injury Report

Jakob Poeltl is out for the Raptors. RJ Barrett and Collin Murray-Boyles are questionable.

The Warriors will be without De’Anthony Melton and Seth Curry.

Raptors vs Warriors Prediction

I’m not excited to lay points with the Warriors on the road where they’ve lost 11 times, but this has more to do with the Raptors. Despite getting Barrett back soon, the Raptors are on the struggle bus, which includes a 3-7 SU and ATS record in their last 10 games. The Warriors are having a productive week with 3 straight wins and the defensive effort has improved. The line is somewhat reasonable. I’ll lay the points with the Warriors on the road.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Golden State Warriors -4.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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