Denver Nuggets (17-6) vs. Sacramento Kings (6-18)
December 11, 2025 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Sacramento Kings +10.5; Over/Under: 238.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Denver Nuggets pay a visit to the Sacramento Kings at the Golden 1 Center on Thursday night. Here’s a Kings vs Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Kings vs Nuggets Pick.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets have been in great form as they’ve won five of their last seven games overall and they will be aiming for a fourth straight victory after taking down the lowly Hornets in a 115-106 road win on Sunday. Jamal Murray continued his hot form with 34 points and five assists on 14 of 25 shooting, Nikola Jokic tallied 28 points with nine rebounds and 11 assists while Tim Hardaway Jr chipped in with 14 points off the bench. As a team, the Nuggets shot 52 percent from the field and 13 of 35 from the 3-point line as they found themselves in a real battle. They actually trailed by six points early in the third quarter, before they made their move with a pivotal 20-6 run to pull ahead and win comfortably in the end.
Sacramento Kings Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Sacramento Kings have been doing it tough lately as they’ve lost five of their last six games overall. They will be hoping for a better result after falling to the struggling Pacers in a 116-105 road defeat on Monday. Russell Westbrook led the team with a triple-double of 24 points with 12 rebounds and 14 assists, DeMar DeRozan added 20 points on eight of 16 shooting while Zach LaVine chipped in with 16 points. As a team, the Kings shot just 47 percent from the field and a miserly seven of 22 from the 3-point line. They worked hard late in the third quarter to erase a 19-point deficit and take the lead midway through the fourth quarter. Before the Pacers went on a pivotal 11-0 run to steal the momentum and the game.
Why the Sacramento Kings will win
- The Nuggets have lost each of their last three games as favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
- The Kings have won three of their last four home games against the Nuggets following a loss.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites following a win.
- The Kings have covered the spread in each of their last three games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The road team has won each of the Nuggets’ last 14 games.
- The Kings have lost each of their last 15 games as home underdogs following a loss.
- The Kings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as home underdogs following a road loss.
- The favorites have covered the spread in seven of the Kings’ last eight games at Golden 1 Center.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Nuggets’ last six road games against the Kings following a road win have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Kings’ last four games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Kings vs Nuggets Prediction
The Nuggets are still missing Aaron Gordon, Christian Braun and Julian Strawther, while the Kings have ruled out Zach LaVine, Dennis Schroder and Domantas Sabonis. The Nuggets were treading water for a few games there as they were dealing with injuries, but they are once again a team on the rise. The Kings have continued their downward spiral with a loss to the slumping Pacers and will now be missing some points with LaVine out injured. The Nuggets were always going to be heavy favorites in this matchup, and I think it’s fully warranted given their recent form and their relative health. The Nuggets are an impressive 11-2 on the road so far this season, and I think they improve on that record with a comfortable win and cover in this spot.
