Thunder vs Pacers Prediction 6/5/25 NBA Picks Today

The Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Thursday in the NBA Finals Game 1 at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Thunder vs Pacers Prediction. This article will include a Thunder vs Pacers Pick.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Indiana Pacers beat the Knicks in 6 games and are in the finals for the first time since the 1999-00 season. The Pacers have won six of their last seven road games. The Pacers have won all three game 1s in these playoffs.

The Indiana Pacers are averaging 117.4 points on 49.7 percent shooting and allowing 113.3 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 21.1 points and 5.8 rebounds, while Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 18.8 points and 5.7 rebounds. Myles Turner is the third double-digit scorer, and Aaron Nesmith is grabbing 5.6 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 40.1 percent from beyond the arc and 79.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.6 rebounds per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Timberwolves in 5 games and are in the finals for the first time since the 2011-12 season. The Thunder have won six straight home games. The Thunder’s only home loss in these playoffs was game 1 against the Nuggets.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 117.1 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 106.3 points on 42.6 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 29.8 points and 6.9 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 20.4 points and 5.8 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Isaiah Hartenstein is grabbing 7.9 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 33.6 percent from beyond the arc and 79 percent from the free-throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 33.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last 18 games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Pacers have lost each of their three previous NBA Finals games following a win.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five road games against Western Conference opponents following a win.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

• The Pacers have won six of their last seven playoff games as road underdogs.
• The Thunder have lost each of their last four NBA Finals games.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four NBA Finals games.
• The Pacers have covered the spread in six of their last seven road games.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (32.7) this season.
• Cason Wallace ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.8) this season.

Indiana Pacers Player Facts

• Tyrese Haliburton ranks 1st amongst qualified players for assist:turnover ratio (5.6) this season.
• Myles Turner ranks 1st in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for Blocks Per Game (2.0) this season.

Thunder vs Pacers Injury Report

The Thunder will be without Nikola Topic due to a knee injury.

The Pacers will be without Isaiah Jackson due to an Achilles injury. Jarace Walker will miss the first two games of the Finals due to an ankle injury. Walker has played 117 minutes in these playoffs, scoring 36 points, grabbing 21 rebounds, and dishing eight assists.

Thunder vs Pacers Prediction

I’ve said a billion times that the Thunder are the best bet in sports with their 62-33-4 ATS record. Over the last two seasons, the Thunder has cashed tickets at an unreal clip, making them a safe bet and extremely profitable when blindly backed. I wouldn’t talk you off the ledge if you want to keep riding the money train. With that said, the Pacers have been doubted all playoffs long, and here they are four wins away from a title.

Since March 17, the Pacers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog, and 10 of those covers were outright wins. Eight of those outright wins came on the road. Since December 29, the Pacers have been an underdog of seven or more points seven times, and they’re 5-2 ATS and SU in those games.

While OKC is great, this is the first series where the Thunder won’t be able to attack one player defensively and cut off the offense. The Pacers move the ball so well and get production from everybody, it’s going to test that aggressive defense. Rick Carlisle is also the experienced coach who has a title as a coach and player under his belt, which is an advantage many aren’t talking about. The Pacers aren’t getting enough respect. I want the points.