Timberwolves vs Spurs Prediction 5/10/26 NBA Picks Today

The San Antonio Spurs and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Sunday in NBA Game 4 at the Target Center. Here’s a Timberwolves vs. Spurs Prediction. This article will include a Timberwolves vs. Spurs Pick.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview

The San Antonio Spurs look for their fourth road playoff win to take a 3-1 series lead. The Spurs have won 41 of their last 51 games.

The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 114 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 100.9 points on 40.6 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 21.9 points and 11.4 rebounds, while Stephon Castle is averaging 18.8 points and 6.4 assists. De’Aaron Fox is the third double-digit scorer, and Devin Vassell is dishing 2.8 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 39.1 percent from beyond the arc and 77.1 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 31.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.5 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves need a win to even up this series and have a legit chance to advance. The Timberwolves have won 8 of their last 13 games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 108.8 points on 4.9 percent shooting and allowing 110.6 points on 44.8 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 19.4 points and 6.7 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 17.8 points and 3.2 assists. Ayo Dosunmu is the third double-digit scorer, and Jaden McDaniels is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 33.9 percent from beyond the arc and 72.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 32.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Timberwolves have won each of their last seven games as home underdogs following a home loss.
• The Spurs have lost seven of their last eight games at Target Center.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as home underdogs following a home loss.
• The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four Western Conference Semifinals games as favorites following a win.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

• The Spurs have won each of their last 12 night games following a road win.
• The Timberwolves have lost seven of their last eight playoff home games against Southwest Division opponents.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight playoff home games against Southwest Division opponents.
• The Spurs have covered the spread in seven of their last eight playoff road games following a win.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Timberwolves’ last four playoff home games against Southwest Division opponents has gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of the Spurs’ last seven playoff games as road favorites have gone OVER the total points line.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• Rudy Gobert ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (68.2%) this season.
• Ayo Dosunmu is one of only two players to have scored 40+ points off the bench in a game this season.

San Antonio Spurs Player Facts

• Victor Wembanyama ranks 1st amongst qualified players for blocks per game (3.1) this season.
• Luke Kornet has recorded 43 games with 1+ assists and zero turnovers this season—most of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (12.1).
• The Timberwolves have used only 14 different starting fives this season—the fewest in the league.
• The Spurs rank 1st in the league for Q1 points per game this season (31.9).
• The Spurs rank 1st in the league for H1 points per game this season (62.2).

Timberwolves vs Spurs Injury Report

The Timberwolves will be without Donte DiVincenzo.

The Spurs don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

Timberwolves vs Spurs Prediction

The Timberwolves and the points remain attractive because we know what they’re capable of and they’ve still won 6 of the last 9 games against the Spurs. Still, the Spurs are the better healtheir team and I can’t turn a reasonable line. The Timberwolves are banged up and playing every other day doesn’t help. The Spurs have also flexed their defensive muscle over the last two games and are starting to frustrate the Timberwolves. I’d simply need more points to give the Timberwolves a fair look in this spot.