Miami Heat (9-8) vs. Toronto Raptors (5-15)
December 1, 2024 6:00 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Raptors +4.5; Over/Under: +223
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Heat and Toronto Raptors meet Sunday in NBA action at the Scotiabank Arena. Here’s a Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Pick.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat beat the Hornets and Raptors, and they play the Celtics, Lakers, and Suns next. The Miami Heat are averaging 110.4 points on 44.4 percent shooting and allowing 109.3 points on 45.7 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.6 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Jimmy Butler is averaging 18.4 points and 5.4 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 3.9 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37.8 percent from beyond the arc and 76.9 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.5 rebounds per game.
Toronto Raptors Betting Preview
The Toronto Raptors lost to the Pistons and Heat, and they play the Pacers, Thunder, and Mavericks next. The Toronto Raptors are averaging 112.6 points on 45.9 percent shooting and allowing 116.6 points on 46.2 percent shooting. RJ Barrett is averaging 22.8 points and 6.3 rebounds, while Scottie Barnes is averaging 20 points and 8.4 rebounds. Gradey Dick is the third double-digit scorer, and Jakob Poeltl is dishing 2.5 assists. The Toronto Raptors are shooting 33.9 percent from beyond the arc and 72.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Toronto Raptors are allowing 34 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.4 rebounds per game.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Raptors have lost each of their last six home games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Heat have won eight of their last 10 road games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Raptors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four home games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Heat have covered the spread in five of their last six games as road favorites against the Raptors.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Raptors’ last eight home games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of the Heat’s last six games as favorites following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
Toronto Raptors Player Facts
- Jakob Poeltl ranks 1st in the league for second-chance points (89) this season.
- RJ Barrett ranks 2nd in the league for fast break points (91) this season.
Miami Heat Player Facts
- Tyler Herro ranks 4th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made Per Game (4.1) this season.
- Bam Adebayo ranks 6th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.8) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Raptors rank 30th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (32.2).
- The Raptors rank 30th in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (21.4).
- The Heat rank 30th in the league for blocks per game this season (3.6).
- The Heat rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (17.9).
Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Prediction
The Toronto Raptors continue to compete and are a profitable 13-7 ATS on the season, but the covering has fallen off a bit these last two weeks, and they just lost to the Heat by 11 points on Friday. The Heat have now won 4 of the last 5 games against the Raptors. I’d need more points to consider the Raptors. I like the Heat and the reasonable chalk.
