Warriors vs Grizzlies Prediction 4/15/25 NBA Picks Today

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies really stumbled their way into the postseason, as they dropped nine of their last 14 games to finish with a 48-34 record. Ja Morant had a rocky season as he played just 50 games but averaged 23.2 points, 4.1 rebounds, and 7.3 assists per game. Jaren Jackson Jr picked up the slack with averages of 22.2 points, 5.6 rebounds, and 1.5 blocks per game. Desmond Bane averaged 19.2 points, 6.1 rebounds, and 5.3 assists per game while Santi Aldama averaged 12.5 points and 6.5 rebounds per game. As a team, the Grizzlies scored 121.7 points per game while shooting 47.9 percent from the field and 36.7 percent from the 3-point line.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors are coming into the postseason with plenty of momentum, as they won 21 of their final 28 games to finish with a 48-34 overall record. Stephen Curry shook off a slow start to the season to finish with averages of 24.5 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 6.0 assists per game. Brandin Podziemski averaged 11.7 points and 3.4 assists per game, Draymond Green averaged 9.0 points, 6.1 rebounds, and 5.6 assists per game while Jimmy Butler III averaged 17.9 points, 5.5 rebounds, and 5.9 assists in his 30 games for his new team. As a team, the Warriors scored 113.8 points per game while shooting 45.1 percent from the field and 36.4 percent from the 3-point line.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Grizzlies have lost each of their last nine games at Chase Center.
• The Warriors have won each of their last 11 games as home favorites following an overtime loss.
• The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last seven night games following a home loss.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

• The Warriors have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against Western Conference opponents.
• The underdogs have won each of the Warriors’ last three games at Chase Center.
• The road team has covered the spread in eight of the Warriors’ last nine games.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games as home favorites.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Stephen Curry ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FT% (93.3%) this season.
• Draymond Green is one of only three qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.

Warriors vs Grizzlies Prediction

The Grizzlies are still missing a few players with Brandon Clarke, Zyon Pullin and Jaylen Wells out again, while the Warriors are coming into this meeting with a full squad. These teams met four times in the regular season with the Warriors winning the series by 3-1, but all of the Warriors’ wins were by single digits, so I am expecting this to go down to the wire. I think the Warriors are clear favorites at home in this spot, but I just feel that the line is a couple of points too high. With that being said, I will lean towards the Grizzlies with the points, with fingers crossed that this one is close till the end.