Dallas Mavericks (31-26) vs. Golden State Warriors (29-27)
February 23, 2025 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Golden State Warriors -8.5; Over/Under: 231.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Dallas Mavericks and Golden State Warriors meet Sunday in NBA action at the Chase Center. Here’s a Warriors vs Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Warriors vs Mavericks Pick.
The Mavericks made headlines with the trade of Luka earlier this month, and many were questioning the decision-making. Well, the Mavs have won five of their last six games and are a game behind the Clippers for a top-six seed in the West. Kyrie Irving has led the charge in the month of February, averaging 28.8 points on 47.2 percent shooting from the field and 40.4 percent shooting from three. The Warriors follow up this game by playing the Lakers, Hornets, and Bucks.
The Warriors recently landed Jimmy Butler in a trade, and they’ve won four of their last five games. The Warriors are coming off back-to-back wins over the Rockets and Kings, and they’ll play their first home game since February 3. That means this will be the first time Warriors fans get to see Butler in the flesh. The Warriors look for their first three-game winning streak since November 10-15. The Warriors play the Hornets, Magic, and 76ers next.
Warriors vs Mavericks Betting Odds
The Warriors are 8.5 point favorites over the Mavs. The ML is set at -325. The favorite has covered five of the last seven games between the Warriors and Mavs. The over has hit in seven of the last 10 games between the Mavs and Warriors.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Mavericks have lost seven of their last eight day games following a home win.
- The Warriors have won 11 of their last 12 home games against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six road games following a win.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of the Mavericks’ last five games.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Mavericks have won five of their last six games as road underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a win.
- The Warriors have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last seven games.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight day games following a road win.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the Mavericks’ last nine games as underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of the Warriors’ last seven day games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Warriors vs Mavericks Injury Report
The Warriors will continue to be without Jonathan Kuminga, as he battles an ankle injury. Kuminga hasn’t played since January 4.
The Mavs have a laundry list of injuries, which includes Dwight Powell, Caleb Martin, Anthony Davis, Daniel Gafford, and Dereck Lively II.
Warriors vs Mavericks Prediction
The Warriors have a pep in their step since the Butler trade, and there should be energy in the Chase Center with this being their first home game in three weeks. I’m still leaning toward the Mavs and the points. The Mavs have not only won five of their last six games, but they’re 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games. Irving has stepped up since the Mavs got bit by the injury bug and the defense has picked up. The Mavs have allowed 113 or fewer points in four of their last five games.
The Mavs also beat the Warriors earlier this month as a 7.5 point underdog, and have won five of the last six games overall against them. This line is a bit disrespectful toward the road team. Give me the Mavericks and the points on Sunday afternoon.
