Avalanche vs Senators Prediction 1/28/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate an Avalanche vs Senators Prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, January 28^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Ottawa Senators Preview

The Senators have 55 points this season with a 24-21-7 record, and are 21-31 ATS and 31-20 in over/under. They have a 12-10-4 home record and a 12-11-3 road record and are sitting 8th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 7-1 home win over the Golden Knights, and their previous three games were a 4-1 home loss to the Hurricanes, a 5-3 road loss to the Predators, and a 4-1 road win over the Blue Jackets.

Offensively, the Senators are averaging 3.29 goals per game and are scoring 22.8% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.35 goals per game and are killing 72.2% of their opponent’s power plays.

Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 53 points and 23 goals, while Jake Sanderson leads the team in assists with 31. Linus Ullmark is the starting goalie for the Senators, and he has a 14-8-5 record, with 2.95 GAA and .881 SV%. James Reimer is the backup goalie and he has a 1-2-1 record, with 3.32 GAA and .871 SV%.

Colorado Avalanche Preview

The Avalanche have 79 points this season with a 35-6-9 record, and are 27-23 ATS and 23-27 in over/under. They have a 20-2-4 home record and a 15-4-5 road record and are sitting 1st in the Central Division. They are coming off a 4-1 road win over the Maple Leafs, and their previous three games were a 7-3 home loss to the Flyers, a 2-1 home shootout loss to the Ducks, and a 5-2 home win over the Capitals.

Offensively, the Avalanche are averaging 3.94 goals per game and are scoring 15.9% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.34 goals per game and are killing 84.1% of their opponent’s power plays.

Nathan MacKinnon leads the Avalanche with 88 points and 38 goals, adding a team-high 50 assists. Scott Wedgewood is the starting goalie for the Avalanche, and he has a 20-3-5 record, with 2.14 GAA and .918 SV%. Mackenzie Blackwood is the backup goalie and he has a 14-3-1 record, with 2.41 GAA and .911 SV%.

Colorado Avalanche @ Ottawa Senators Betting Trends: January 28, 2026

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Senators have won five of their last six games as home underdogs following a win.
• The Avalanche have lost four of their last six games as favorites.
• The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six road games following a road win.
• The Senators have covered the puck line in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs following a home win.
• In each of the last six games between the Avalanche and Senators, the team trailing after the second period has won the third period.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

• The Avalanche have won each of their last seven games against the Senators.
• The Senators have lost four of their last five night games at Canadian Tire Centre following a home win.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six home games.
• The road team has covered the puck line in five of the Avalanche’s last six games.
• The Avalanche have won the second period in each of their last five games against the Senators when leading after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Eight of the last nine games between the Avalanche and Senators have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Avalanche’s last five road games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last 10 games following a win.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in 14 of the Avalanche’s last 15 games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Jake Sanderson has recorded an assist in each of the Senators’ last four games against Central Division opponents.
• Jake Sanderson has recorded three hits against the Avalanche this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Brock Nelson has scored at least one goal in seven of the Avalanche’s last eight games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Cale Makar has recorded at least one assist in each of the Avalanche’s last seven games against the Senators.
• Nathan MacKinnon ranks 1st in the league for Goals (38) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Ottawa Senators rank 30th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (72.15%).
• The Ottawa Senators rank 26th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.35).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for goals per game this season (3.94).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for goals against per game this season (2.34).

Avalanche vs Senators Prediction

In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Avalanche won 8-2 at home and are 9-1 in their last 10 meetings against the Senators.

In this Avalanche vs Senators Prediction, the Avalanche are coming as -156 road favorites. The Avalanche have been the best team in hockey this season and are coming off a dominating win in Toronto that ended their previous 1-4 losing streak. The Senators are not playing good hockey lately either, as they are 2-4 in their last 6 games and 2-4 in their last six at home. At this price it is far enough to take the Avalanche straight up on the moneyline, as I trust them more in this spot and have had the Senators’ number in recent years, with nine wins in their last ten meetings including wins in their last three visits in Ottawa. Take the Avalanche on the moneyline in this one.