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Cavaliers vs Kings Prediction 1/23/26 NBA Picks Today

Sacramento Kings (12-33) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (25-20)
January 23, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Cavaliers -11.5; Over/Under: 233.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Sacramento Kings and Cleveland Cavaliers meet Friday in NBA action at the Rocket Arena. Here’s a Cavaliers vs Kings Prediction. This article will include a Cavaliers vs Kings Pick.

Sacramento Kings Betting Preview

The Sacramento Kings lost to the Raptors and Heat, and they play the Pistons next. The Kings have lost 3 straight games.

The Sacramento Kings are averaging 110.2 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 120.7 points on 49.2 percent shooting. Zach LaVine is averaging 20 points and 3.1 rebounds, while DeMar DeRozan is averaging 19.1 points and 3.4 rebounds. Domantas Sabonis is the third double-digit scorer and Russell Westbrook is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc and 76.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 4.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.6 rebounds per game.

Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview

The Cleveland Cavaliers beat the Hornets, lost to the Thunder, and they play the Magic next. The Cavs have won 8 of their last 12 games.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging 119.7 points on 47.1 percent shooting and allowing 117.8 points on 46.8 percent shooting. Donovan Mitchell is averaging 29 points and 5.7 assists, while Darius Garland is averaging 18 points and 6.9 assists. Evan Mobley is the third double-digit scorer and De’Andre Hunter is grabbing 4.4 rebounds. The Cleveland Cavaliers are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 78.1 percent from the free throw line. The Cleveland Cavaliers are allowing 38.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.6 rebounds per game.

Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win

  • The Kings have lost each of their last 11 road games following a home loss.
  • The Cavaliers have won 10 of their last 11 home games against the Kings following a road win.
  • The Kings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as road underdogs against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Kings’ last four games.

Why the Sacramento Kings will win

  • The Kings have won five of their last six games as underdogs against the Cavaliers.
  • The Cavaliers have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a road win.
  • The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine night games at Rocket Arena following a road win.
  • The Kings have covered the spread in eight of their last nine road games against Central Division opponents following a loss.

Total Points Facts

  • Five of the Cavaliers’ last six games as favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Four of the Kings’ last five road games have gone OVER the total points line.

Cleveland Cavaliers Player Facts

  • Donovan Mitchell ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (3.8) this season.
  • Dean Wade ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for assist:turnover ratio (5.3) this season.

Sacramento Kings Player Facts

  • Russell Westbrook has recorded 43 games with 3+ assists this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
  • DeMar DeRozan is one of only 13 qualified Guards in the league shooting at least 50% from the field this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cavaliers rank 30th in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (38.0%).
  • The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for Q4 points per game this season (30.4).
  • The Kings rank 30th in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (10.6).
  • The Kings rank 30th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (30.1).

Cavaliers vs Kings Injury Report

The Cavs will be without Max Strus, Sam Merrill, and Darius Garland.

The Kings will be without Keegan Murray.

Cavaliers vs Kings Prediction

I don’t want to back the Kings as much as the next guy as they’re a bad team that doesn’t defend, cover numbers, and are 3-17 SU on the road. However, the Cavs are 16-29 ATS on the season. We’ve been fading the Cavs all year, and they have the worst cover percentage in the NBA. The Cavs are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a double-digit favorite. Since December 3, the Cavs have outright lost 3 times as a double-digit favorite. No, thank you. It’s Kings and the points or pass for me. Backing the Cavs simply isn’t an option.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Sacramento Kings +11.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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