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Brewers vs Marlins Prediction 7/25/25 MLB Picks Today

Miami Marlins (48-53) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (61-41)
July 25, 2025 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -235 / Miami Marlins 188; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 25th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 61-41 this year after they won two out of three against Seattle by scores of 6-0, 0-1, and 10-2. In their game three win, Milwaukee was tied at two after the second inning, but they scored the last eight runs in the game for the blowout victory. The Brewers recorded 17 hits in the game and they were led by Turang, who went 3-5 with three RBIs in the win. Milwaukee started Priester, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Myers closed out the game. 

Prior to that series, the Brewers swept the Dodgers in three games and also swept the Nationals in three games. Milwaukee has won 12 of their last 13 games and they are currently first in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.58 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 489 runs with a .250 batting average and a .324 on base percentage this season. Christian Yelich has led Milwaukee with 19 home runs and 66 RBIs, while Jackson Chourio has added 16 home runs and 65 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Freddy Peralta, who is 12-4 with a 2.85 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 116.2 innings pitched this year. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 48-53 this season after they won two out of three against San Diego by scores of 1-2, 4-3, and 3-2. In their game three win, Miami scored two runs in the fifth inning to take a 3-1 lead and they were able to hang on for the victory. The Marlins recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Sanchez, who went 2-3 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Miami started Alcantara, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Faucher picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Marlins won two out of three against the Royals and two out of three against the Orioles. Miami has won six of their last eight games and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.48 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 431 runs with a .253 batting average and a .315 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 22 home runs and 61 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 14 home runs and 45 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Cal Quantrill, who is 3-8 with a 5.24 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 87.2 innings pitched this season.

Why the Brewers will beat the Marlins

  • The Brewers have won each of their last 10 games against National League opponents.
  • The Marlins have lost each of their last five road games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last seven games.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against NL Central opponents following a win.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven Friday games as road underdogs.
  • The Brewers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have lost the first inning in each of their last three games against NL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Marlins’ last six day games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Brewers’ last four home games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last 10 games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four games as underdogs against National League opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • Andrew Vaughn has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Freddy Peralta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three home appearances against NL opponents.
  • Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against NL opponents.
  • Jackson Chourio has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Brewers as favorites against the Marlins.
  • Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in each of his last seven appearances.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Otto Lopez has hit a home run in two of the Marlins’ last three games as road underdogs.
  • Cal Quantrill has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Brewers vs Marlins Prediction 

Milwaukee comes into this matchup continuing to be one of the top teams in the MLB over the last few weeks and they are now first in the NL Central. The Brewers are 33-17 at home this year, while the Marlins are 24-24 on the road. Miami has also played well recently and they starting Quantrill, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Milwaukee is going with Peralta, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four. I know Quantrill has been decent recently, but I can’t trust him against this Milwaukee lineup. Take the Brewers -1.5 here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Brewers -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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