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San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 6-20-24 Picks

Milwaukee Brewers (44-30) vs. San Diego Padres (38-40)
June 20, 2024 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego Padres +105 / Milwaukee Brewers -115; Over/Under: +8.5
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The Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres meet Thursday in MLB game 1 action at Petco Park. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction. This article will include a San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers Pick.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 44-30 on the year after wins over the Reds and Angels. The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 11 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 9 games. The Milwaukee Brewers have lost 6 of their last 9 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 89 hits and 48 RBI, while Brice Turang and Willy Adames have combined for 135 hits and 77 RBI. The Brewers will face the Rangers, Cubs, and Rockies following this series.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 38-40 on the year after losses to the Mets and Phillies. The San Diego Padres have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 9 games. The San Diego Padres have won 6 of their last 7 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jurickson Profar leads the San Diego Padres with 84 hits and 47 RBI, while Fernando Tatis Jr. and Jake Cronenworth have combined for 152 hits and 81 RBI. The Padres will take on the Nationals after this series.

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres Pitching Pick Matchup

Bryse Wilson gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 4-3 with a 3.84 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. Wilson has allowed 15 hits and 10 runs in his last 15.1 innings. Wilson has a 4.75 ERA and .234 allowed batting average in 36 road innings. Wilson is 1-0 with a 4.26 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.

Adam Mazur gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 0-2 with a 7.82 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. Mazur has allowed 13 hits and 11 runs in 12.2 innings this season. This will be Mazur’s fourth career MLB start. This will be Mazur’s first career game against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

  • The Padres have lost each of their last eight Thursday night home games.
  • The Brewers have won 10 of their last 11 night games against the Padres following a road win.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Thursday night home games.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last nine Thursday games against National League opponents.
  • The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Thursday games against opponents that held a losing record.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Manny Machado has hit a home run in five of the Padres’ last six Thursday games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Manny Machado has recorded an RBI in five of the Padres’ last six games against the Brewers.
  • Manny Machado has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Padres’ last eight Thursday games as underdogs.
  • Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one Single in each of the Padres’ last nine games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Padres’ last seven home games.
  • Manny Machado has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last 11 home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jurickson Profar ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.323) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • William Contreras has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Brewers’ last four night games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • William Contreras has recorded two or more total bases in four of his last five appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a losing record.
  • William Contreras has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a road favorite against the Padres.
  • Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in two of his three previous appearances with his team as a favorite against the Padres.
  • William Contreras has scored at least one run in each of his last 10 appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Brice Turang ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (26) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for hits this season (679).
  • The San Diego Padres rank T1st in the league for strikeouts this season (679).
  • The Milwaukee Brewers rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (104).
  • The Milwaukee Brewers rank T3rd in the league for walks this season (267).

San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

The Milwaukee Brewers need to get their offense going if they’re going to have success in this series on the road. However, the Padres have been hard to back all season due to the constant highs and lows. Also, Adam Mazur has been rough though three career MLB starts, as he has a 7.82 ERA through 12.2 innings, and he’s walked 13 as well. Bryse Wilson is the far and away more trustworthy pitcher this season. Give me the Brewers in game 1 against the Padres.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -115

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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