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Detroit Pistons vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Pick-Odds-Prediction 12/10/13

Minnesota Timberwolves (9-11) at Detroit Pistons (10-11)

NBA Basketball: Tuesday, December 10, 2013 at 7:30 pm (The Palace of Auburn Hills)

The Line: Detroit Pistons -1.5 -- Over/Under: 202.5 See the Latest Odds


The Detroit Pistons collide with the Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday night from the Palace of Auburn Hills.

Head to head, the Timberwolves are 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Detroit while the road team is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Pistons are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games vs. a team with a losing S.U record and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points, but just 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 vs. Western Conference. The Timberwolves on the other hand are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record, but just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

Detroit Pistons vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Pick-Odds-Prediction 12/10/13

Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

I’ve vowed to not making any premium picks for a couple of days because I’m ice cold at the moment, but if I were making one today, then the over in this game would be my play.

You wouldn’t really know it, but the Detroit Pistons have been one of the better offensive teams in the league over the last couple of weeks. If you take away that horrible 79 point performance against the Bulls at the end of November, you will find that the Pistons are averaging 105 points over their last eight games, which is six points above their season average. The over has also hit in seven of those contests as well.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are in the same boat as Detroit as they have had one really ordinary offensive performance recently, which was an 84 point outing in Indiana also at the end of November. Having said that, you can kind of understand such a low score against what is the best defensive team in the league in Indiana. The T-Wolves also only put up 82 in home loss against Miami on Saturday, but they were without Kevin Love for personal reasons. In all their other games surrounding those two, Minnesota has put up an average of 107.4 points per game and their totals have averaged 211.2, which includes a 111-81 domination over Brooklyn.

While Detroit’s defensive numbers have looked better lately, it has more to do with who they have played than anything else. As far as the Timberwolves are concerned, they don’t put much emphasis on the defensive end and they have given up an average of 108 points over their last six outings. Given everything we already know and the fact that Kevin Love is expected back, I think this is the strongest play on the board tonight...

Dan’s Pick: Over 202.5

Follow me on Twitter @Dan_SCP


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