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Cavaliers vs Heat Prediction 4/23/25 NBA Picks Today

Miami Heat (37-45) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (64-18)
April 23, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Cavaliers -12; Over/Under: 211.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Heat and Cleveland Cavaliers meet Wednesday in the NBA playoffs Game 2 at the Rocket Arena. Here’s a Cavaliers vs Heat Prediction. This article will include a Cavaliers vs Heat Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat look for a win after losing game 1 by 21 points. The Heat have lost six of their last nine games since their six-game winning streak.


The Miami Heat are averaging 110 points on 48.8 percent shooting and allowing 121 points on 51.1 percent shooting. Bam Adebayo is averaging 24 points and 9 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 21 points and 3 rebounds. Davion Mitchell is the third double-digit scorer, and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 6 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 41.9 percent from beyond the arc and 75 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 41.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37 rebounds per game.

Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview

The Cleveland Cavaliers look for a quick 2-0 start after cruising in the series opener. The Cavs have seen eight of their 18 losses come since March 16.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging 121 points on 51.1 percent shooting and allowing 100 points on 48.8 percent shooting. Donovan Mitchell is averaging 30 points and 4 assists, while Ty Jerome is averaging 28 points and 3 assists. Darius Garland is the third double-digit scorer and Jarrett Allen is grabbing 11 rebounds. The Cleveland Cavaliers are shooting 41.9 percent from beyond the arc and 81.3 percent from the free throw line. The Cleveland Cavaliers are allowing 41.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42 rebounds per game.

Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win

  • The Cavaliers have won each of their last 11 playoff home games against Southeast Division opponents.
  • The Heat have lost 10 of their last 11 road games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in seven of the Cavaliers’ last eight Eastern Conference First Round games.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four Eastern Conference First Round games.

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Heat have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against Central Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Cavaliers have lost each of their last four playoff games following a win.
  • The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine home games following a win.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last four games against the Cavaliers following a loss.

Cleveland Cavaliers Player Facts

  • Jarrett Allen ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (70.6%) this season.
  • Ty Jerome ranks 4th amongst qualified players for 3P% (43.9%) this season.

Miami Heat Player Facts

  • Tyler Herro ranks T7th in the league for fast break points (290) this season.
  • Bam Adebayo ranks 4th amongst qualified Forwards for rebounds per game (9.6) this season.

Cavaliers vs Heat Injury Report

The Cavaliers don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

The Miami Heat will be without Dru Smith, Kevin Love, Terry Rozier, and Isaiah Stevens.

Cavaliers vs Heat Prediction

The Cavs got whatever they wanted offensively in game 1 and there’s a clear talent gap here. The Cavaliers are also 49-33-1 ATS on the season, so I won’t talk you off the ledge if looking at the chalk again. However, game 1 was closer than the final score indicated, as it was a single-digit game for much of the second half. The Cavs just had an answer every time the Heat cut it close.

Erik Spoelstra is still the best coach in the league, and you’d think adjustments are coming. The Heat are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a double-digit underdog. The Cavs have failed to cover seven of their last 12 games as a double-digit favorite. The Cavs should win, but the Heat are too well coached to get blown off the court consistently. I’ll grab the points.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Heat +12

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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