Cavaliers vs Pistons Prediction 5/11/26 NBA Picks Today

The Detroit Pistons and Cleveland Cavaliers meet Monday in NBA Game 4 at the Rocket Arena. Here’s a Cavaliers vs. Pistons Prediction. This article will include a Cavaliers vs. Pistons Pick.

Detroit Pistons Betting Preview

The Detroit Pistons look for their second road playoff win to take a 3-1 series lead. The Pistons have won 20 of their last 28 games.

The Detroit Pistons are averaging 104.4 points on 44.5 percent shooting and allowing 99.8 points on 42.1 percent shooting. Cade Cunningham is averaging 30.2 points and 5.6 rebounds, while Tobias Harris is averaging 21.3 points and 1 assist. Duncan Robinson is the third double-digit scorer and Jalen Duren is dishing 2.1 assists. The Detroit Pistons are shooting 35.2 percent from beyond the arc and 76.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Detroit Pistons are allowing 32.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.6 rebounds per game.

Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview

The Cleveland Cavaliers look to remain undefeated at home in the playoffs to even up the series. The Cavs have won 10 of their last 16 games.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging 109.7 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 109.8 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Donovan Mitchell is averaging 25.1 points and 3 assists, while James Harden is averaging 19.5 points and 6 assists. Evan Mobley is the third double-digit scorer, and Jarrett Allen is grabbing 7.2 rebounds. The Cleveland Cavaliers are shooting 33.6 percent from beyond the arc and 73.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Cleveland Cavaliers are allowing 37.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win

• The home team has won each of the Cavaliers’ last 13 games.
• The Pistons have lost each of their last 10 playoff road games against Central Division opponents.
• The home team has covered the spread in 12 of the Cavaliers’ last 13 games.
• The Pistons have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight playoff games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.

Why the Detroit Pistons will win

• The Pistons have won nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Cavaliers have lost each of their last five Eastern Conference Semifinals games following a win.
• The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven playoff games against Central Division opponents following a win.
• The Pistons have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Cavaliers’ last six home night games following a home win has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Pistons’ last four playoff games as underdogs against Central Division opponents has gone OVER the total points line.

Cleveland Cavaliers Player Facts

• James Harden has recorded 75 games with 4+ assists this season—most of any player in the league.
• Dean Wade ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for assist-to-turnover ratio (5.5) this season.

Detroit Pistons Player Facts

• Ausar Thompson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for steals per game (2.0) this season.
• Jalen Duren has recorded the most field goal attempts without a three-point attempt (803) of any player in the league this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for Q4 points per game this season (30.0).
• The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for H2 points per game this season (61.2).
• The Pistons rank 1st in the league for opponent assists per game this season (23.5).
• The Pistons rank 1st in the league for steals per game this season (10.4).

Cavaliers vs Pistons Injury Report

Kevin Huerter is questionable for the Pistons due to an adductor strain. Caris LeVert is questionable with a heel contusion.

The Cavs don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

Cavaliers vs Pistons Prediction

The Pistons and the free points are attractive because I do believe they’re the more consistent team, led by a defense that shows up every night. While the Cavs are more talented, they turn the ball over a lot, pick and choose when to defend and sometimes just go through the motions. The Cavs are also a league worst 37-54-1 ATS on the season. I’m still laying the points with the Cavaliers.

The Cavs have yet to lose at home in these playoffs and the game 3 victory does give this squad a shot in the arm confidence-wise. The Pistons still have issues scoring in the half court and don’t have the horses to keep up when the Cavs are making shots. Also, the home team is 7-3 SU in the last 10 games between the Cavs and Pistons. The winner in 9 of the last 10 games between these teams has also covered the spread. Give me the Cavaliers.