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Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction 4-29-24 Picks

Boston Celtics (66-19) vs. Miami Heat (48-39)
April 29, 2024 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat +10.5; Over/Under: +204
(Get latest betting odds)

The Boston Celtics and Miami Heat meet Monday in Game 4 East NBA Playoffs action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction.

Boston Celtics Betting Preview

The Boston Celtics look for another road win to take a commanding 3-1 series lead. The Boston Celtics are averaging 106.3 points on 47.1 percent shooting and allowing 96.3 points on 45.9 percent shooting. Jayson Tatum is averaging 24.3 points and 9.7 rebounds, while Jaylen Brown is averaging 24 points and 8 rebounds. Derrick White is the third double-digit scorer and Kristaps Porzingis is grabbing 5.7 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 38.1 percent from beyond the arc and 75.9 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 40.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat need an upset win to even up the series at 2-2. The Miami Heat are averaging 96.3 points on 45.9 percent shooting and allowing 106.3 points on 47.1 percent shooting. Bam Adebayo is averaging 21.7 points and 8.3 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 16.7 points and 3.7 rebounds. Jaime Jaquez Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Nikola Jovic is grabbing 7.7 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 40.7 percent from beyond the arc and 81.6 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 38.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.7 rebounds per game.

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Injury Report

The Boston Celtics don’t have a single player on their injury report. The Miami Heat will continue to be without Josh Richardson, Jimmy Butler and Terry Rozier. Delon Wright, who missed game 3 due to personal reasons, is listed as probable for game 4.

Miami Heat Team Facts

  • The Heat have won each of their last nine games following a loss.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last nine games following a loss.
  • Each of the Heat’s last six games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.

Boston Celtics Team Facts

  • The Celtics have lost each of their last six Eastern Conference First Round road games against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
  • The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games following a win.
  • Seven of the Celtics’ last eight night games against Southeast Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Celtics have now won 8 of the last 10 games against the Heat, and 5 of those wins were decided by 10 or more points. With the Heat still down Butler and Rozier, Miami is extremely limited roster wise, mainly on the offensive side, and it’s the reason these lines are so big. The Heat are simply outgunned without their best player and their best creator / three level scorer. With that said, the Heat seems to play their best ball when you expect them not to, and they usually bounce back from losses in the playoffs under Erik Spoelstra. The return of Wright is another defensive body, so the Heat can get out of that zone that’s been killing them this series. Must win game if the Heat are going to save their season. Give me the home dog.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Heat +10.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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