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Pelicans vs Heat Prediction 2/11/26 NBA Picks Today

Miami Heat (28-27) vs. New Orleans Pelicans (15-40)
February 11, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: New Orleans Pelicans -1.5; Over/Under: 232.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Heat invade the Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday night. Here’s a Pelicans vs Heat Prediction. This article will include a Pelicans vs Heat Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat have been in a rut as they’ve lost five of their last eight games overall and they will be hoping to bounce back after falling just short to the Jazz in a 115-111 loss on Monday. Andrew Wiggins led the team with 26 points on nine of 18 shooting, Bam Adebayo tallied 23 points with 11 rebounds and five assists while Kasparas Jakucionis chipped in with 20 points off the bench. As a team, the Heat shot 42 percent from the field and 15 of 45 from the 3-point line as they got off to a quick start and shot out to an early 15-point lead. However, it didn’t last long at all as the Heat were already trailing by halftime after allowing 35 points in the second quarter. The Heat managed to climb back into the contest to take the lead late in the fourth quarter only to get outscored by 14-5 in the final 3:51 to allow the Jazz to slip through their fingers.

New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the New Orleans Pelicans have been in fine form as they’ve won five of their last nine games overall. They will be aiming for a third straight victory after blowing past the slumping Kings in a 120-94 win on Monday. Trey Murphy III led the team with 21 points and seven assists, Jeremiah Fears added 20 points off the bench while Zion Williamson chipped in with 18 points and six assists. As a team, the Pelicans shot 54 percent from the field and 16 of 39 from the 3-point line as they poured in 61 points in the first half to take a 15-point lead into halftime. Things didn’t change much in the second half as the Pelicans kept the Kings quiet from behind the arc to win comfortably. In fact, the Pelicans did such a good job on defense that they held the Kings to just four of 31 shooting from the 3-point line for the game.

Why the New Orleans Pelicans will win

  • The Pelicans have won each of their last 12 games as home favorites.
  • The Heat have lost four of their last five night games.
  • The Pelicans have covered the spread in each of their last nine games as home favorites.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games against Southwest Division opponents.

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Heat have won each of their last 11 games against Southwest Division opponents after losing as favorites.
  • The Pelicans have lost 20 of their last 21 games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last nine games following a loss.
  • The Pelicans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six home games against Southeast Division opponents that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

  • Nine of the Pelicans’ last 10 night games against Southeast Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Heat’s last five road games following a home loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

Pelicans vs Heat Prediction

The Heat have ruled out Tyler Herro and Norman Powell, with Andrew Wiggins listed as questionable, while the Pelicans have ruled out Dejounte Murray again, with Micah Peavy listed as questionable. The Heat really haven’t been able to get anything going lately, and they are missing some key players in this one which should make things tougher. The Pelicans haven’t been consistent all season, but they have been playing some decent basketball lately, they are relatively healthy, and I think they can get the job done at this short line at home.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: New Orleans -1.5

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Peter Tran

Peter Trans is an acclaimed Expert NBA Handicapper, renowned for his insightful analysis and predictions in the world of professional basketball. With a keen eye for detail and a deep understanding of the game, Peter has established himself as a trusted authority among basketball enthusiasts and bettors alike. His expertise is showcased on SportsChatPlace.com, where he provides in-depth game analyses, betting tips, and forecasts that are both highly informative and remarkably accurate.

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