Minnesota Timberwolves (37-29) vs. Denver Nuggets (42-23)
March 12, 2025 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Denver Nuggets -3.5; Over/Under: 236
(Get latest betting odds)
The Minnesota Timberwolves travel to the Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday night. Here’s a Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a Nuggets vs Timberwolves Pick.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves are starting to heat up again as they are now gunning for a fifth straight victory after blowing past the Spurs in a 141-124 home win on Sunday. Anthony Edwards led the team with 25 points on 10 of 15 shooting, Naz Reid added 20 points with seven rebounds and four assists off the bench, Donte DiVincenzo added 17 points while Julius Randle chipped in with 14 points and 10 assists. As a team, the Timberwolves shot 55 percent from the field and a sizzling 21 of 42 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 37 points in the first quarter to take an eight-point lead into halftime. Before they exploded for 73 points in the second half to make it a complete blowout in front of their home fans.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets have been in pretty good shape as they’ve won five of their last eight games overall, but they will be full of confidence after taking down the red-hot Thunder in a 140-127 road win on Monday. Nikola Jokic led the team with 35 points, 18 rebounds and eight assists on 15 of 20 shooting, Jamal Murray added 34 points with six assists, Michael Porter Jr added 17 points while Russell Westbrook chipped in with 16 points. As a team, the Nuggets shot a sizzling 60 percent from the field and 18 of 32 from the 3-point line as they struggled to contain the Thunder and allowed 41 points in the second quarter to trail by 12 points. Before they dominated the second half by 73-54 to come away with one of their best wins of the season.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Nuggets have won 10 of their last 11 games at Ball Arena.
- The Timberwolves have lost 12 of their 15 previous night games at Ball Arena following a home win.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in eight of their last nine night games against Northwest Division opponents.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five road games following a win.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Timberwolves have won 12 of their last 14 games as underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Nuggets have lost five of their last six games when playing with a rest disadvantage against the Timberwolves.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread in 15 of their last 16 games as underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games following a win.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (31.2).
- The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for opponent assists per game this season (29.1).
- The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for Q2 opponent points per game this season (26.8).
- The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for Q4 win percentage this season (63.6%).
Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction
The Timberwolves could be shorthanded again with Rudy Gobert upgraded to questionable for this one, while the Nuggets are going to be without the services of Aaron Gordon and Julian Strawther, who are both out. The Timberwolves are coming into this game with plenty of momentum, and they could be back to full strength with Gobert a possibility to make his return, but the Nuggets have been on another level lately. They really made a statement with their comeback win over the Thunder in their last game. The Timberwolves could surprise us and pull off the upset on the road, but the Nuggets have been tough to beat at home all season, and I think they are great value at the short line in this spot.
