Rockets vs Warriors Prediction 3/5/26 NBA Picks Today

The Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets meet Thursday in NBA action at the Toyota Center. Here’s a Rockets vs. Warriors prediction. This article will include a Rockets vs. Warriors pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors lost to the Lakers and Clippers, and they’ll play the Thunder next. The Warriors have lost 9 of their last 14 games.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 115.6 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 114.1 points on 47.3 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 27.2 points and 4.8 assists, while Brandin Podziemski averages 12 points and 3.5 assists. De’Anthony Melton is the third double-digit scorer, and Moses Moody is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 80.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

The Houston Rockets beat the Wizards and lost to the Heat, and they play the Trail Blazers next. The Rockets have won 5 of their last 7 games.

The Houston Rockets are averaging 114.5 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 109.2 points on 45.6 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 26.2 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 20.2 points and 9.1 rebounds. Amen Thompson is the third double-digit scorer, and Jabari Smith Jr. is grabbing 6.8 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 75.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 34.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.2 rebounds per game.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

• The Warriors have lost eight of their last nine night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Rockets have won seven of their last eight games against Pacific Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 night games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rockets have covered the spread in four of their last five games against the Warriors.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Warriors have won each of their last five games on the road as underdogs against the Rockets following a loss.
• The Rockets have lost each of their last three home games on the first leg of a back-to-back against the Warriors.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last six games as road underdogs against the Rockets following a loss.
• The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites following a road win.

Total Points: Facts

• Each of the Warriors’ last eight games as road underdogs has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Rockets’ last seven games as favorites following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Houston Rockets Player Facts

• Alperen Sengun ranks T1st in the league for points in the paint (728) this season.
• Kevin Durant has scored 30+ points in three consecutive appearances—the longest active streak of any player in the league.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Draymond Green is one of only eight qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds (5.6) and assists (5.2) per game this season.
• Pat Spencer ranks 18th amongst qualified players for assists per 36 minutes (7.5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rockets rank 1st in the league for rebounds per game this season (48.4).
• The Rockets rank 1st in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (15.4).
• The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (16.3).
• The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (45.4).

Rockets vs Warriors Injury Report

The Rockets will be without Fred VanVleet, Jae’Sean Tate, and Steven Adams. Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, and Alperen Sengun are questionable.

The Warriors will be without Jimmy Butler, Moses Moody, LJ Cryer, Kristaps Porzingis, Will Richard, Seth Curry, and Stephen Curry. Gary Payton is questionable.

Rockets vs Warriors Prediction

I don’t want to lay all of these points with a sometimes shaky Rockets team as much as the next guy, but it’s impossible to get behind the Warriors with all of these injuries. The Warriors have nearly their entire rotation out and it’s leading to a lengthy losing stretch. The Warriors are in danger of falling to the 10th seed if this keeps up. Until the Warriors get reinforcements, I have to keep fading them. The Rockets have injuries of their own but there’s still enough here to comfortably win this game.