Rockets vs Warriors Prediction 5/4/25 NBA Picks Today

The Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets meet Sunday in the NBA playoffs Game 7 at the Toyota Center. Here’s a Rockets vs Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Rockets vs Warriors Pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors have a chance to make the second round for an eighth straight playoff appearance. The Warriors have won 11 of their last 17 games. The Warriors haven’t lost in the first round since the 2013-14 season.

The Warriors The Golden State Warriors are averaging 104.2 points on 42.7 percent shooting and allowing 106.5 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 24.3 points and 5.5 assists, while Jimmy Butler averages 18 points and 4.4 assists. Brandin Podziemski is the third double-digit scorer, and Moses Moody is grabbing 3.2 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 34.7 percent from beyond the arc and 77 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 37.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.8 rebounds per game.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

The Houston Rockets look to win a playoff series for the first time since the 2019-20 season. The Rockets look to win three straight games for the first time since April 2-6. The Rockets can be the 14th team in NBA history to come back from a 3-1 deficit.

The Houston Rockets are averaging 106.5 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 104.2 points on 42.7 percent shooting. Alperen Sengun is averaging 20.8 points and 11.5 rebounds, while Fred VanVleet is averaging 19 points and 3.7 rebounds. Amen Thompson is the third double-digit scorer, and Jalen Green is grabbing 5.7 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 37.8 percent from beyond the arc and 69.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46 rebounds per game.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

• The Rockets have won 11 of their last 12 Western Conference First Round games at Toyota Center.
• The Warriors have lost five of their last six playoff road games.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six playoff road games.
• The Rockets have covered the spread in four of their last five playoff games against the Warriors.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Warriors have won each of their last nine games against the Rockets after losing as favorites.
• The Rockets have lost three of their last four playoff games as favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in seven of their last eight night games following a home loss.
• The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Sunday games at Toyota Center.

Houston Rockets Player Facts

• Steven Adams ranks 1st amongst qualified players for rebounds per 36 minutes (14.8) this season.
• Alperen Sengun ranks 5th in the league for points in the paint (1012) this season.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Stephen Curry ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FT% (93.3%) this season.
• Draymond Green is one of only three qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.

Rockets vs Warriors Injury Report

The Rockets will be without Jae’Sean Tate due to an ankle injury. Jock Landale is out with a knee injury.

The Warriors don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

Rockets vs Warriors Prediction

The Rockets have all of the momentum, winning two straight games to force a game seven. After the Nuggets win last night, there’s been 151 game sevens in NBA history, and only 39 road teams have won. That’s a 74.2 percent win percentage for the home team. The Rockets are the more physical team, they’ve found something in Steven Adams, and they’re the deeper team. If the Warriors don’t find offensive production from guys not Curry or Butler, they’ll be going home.

With all of that said, the Warriors are still head and shoulders the more experienced team, filled with champions who have won endless big games on the road. That means something in games like this, and it has me looking at the points as a value bet. There’s a lot going for the Rockets, but something still tells me the seasoned vets on the Warriors will find a way to prevail. I’ll grab the points.