Thunder vs Cavaliers Prediction 2/22/26 NBA Picks Today

The Cleveland Cavaliers and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Sunday in NBA action at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Thunder vs. Cavaliers Prediction. This article will include a Thunder vs. Cavaliers pick.

Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview

The Cleveland Cavaliers beat the Nets and Hornets, and they play the Knicks next. The Cavs have won 12 of their last 13 games.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging 120 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 115.9 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Donovan Mitchell is averaging 29 points and 5.9 assists, while James Harden is averaging 19.3 points and 8.7 assists. Evan Mobley is the third double-digit scorer, and Jarrett Allen is grabbing 8.3 rebounds. The Cleveland Cavaliers are shooting 35.8 percent from beyond the arc and 78.4 percent from the free throw line. The Cleveland Cavaliers are allowing 37.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.6 rebounds per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder lost to the Bucks, beat the Nets, and then played the Raptors next. The Thunder have split their last 12 games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 119.7 points on 48.7 percent shooting and allowing 108.1 points on 43.5 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.8 points and 6.4 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 17.5 points and 4.7 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 36.2 percent from beyond the arc and 82.1 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 37.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last nine games at Paycom Center following a home win.
• The Cavaliers have lost eight of their last nine games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games at Paycom Center against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.

Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win

• The Cavaliers have won each of their last seven games.
• The Thunder have lost three of their last four home games against Central Division opponents following a win.
• The Cavaliers have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as road favorites against Northwest Division opponents.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 11 games as home underdogs against Central Division opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the last seven Sunday games between the Cavaliers and Thunder have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Cavaliers’ last four day games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

• Cason Wallace ranks 1st amongst qualified players for steals per game (2.1) this season.
• Chet Holmgren is one of only two players to have made 9+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.

Cleveland Cavaliers Player Facts

• James Harden has recorded 6+ assists in 19 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
• Jaylon Tyson ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for 3P% (47.1%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent points per game this season (107.6).
• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+11.8).
• The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for Q3 points per game this season (31.2).
• The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for Q4 points per game this season (30.1).

Thunder vs Cavaliers Injury Report

The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams, and Ajay Mitchell.

The Cavs will be without Max Strus.

Thunder vs Cavaliers Prediction

The Cavaliers are still 24-33 ATS on the season, so you’re not making money backing them. However, the Cavs are playing their best ball of the season and have covered 7 of their last 10 games. The Thunder are just 28-28-1 ATS on the season, they’ve split their last 12 games, and they’re down two of their best players. With the new Cavs with Harden and Mitchell cooking, this should be a win given the health advantage. It’s also a confidence booster given the environment. I’ll lay the reasonable number with the Cavs on the road.