
Thunder vs Hornets Prediction 3/21/25 NBA Picks Today
Charlotte Hornets (18-51) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (57-12)
March 21, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -19.5; Over/Under: 227
(Get latest betting odds)
The Charlotte Hornets and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Friday in NBA action at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Thunder vs Hornets Prediction. This article will include a Thunder vs Hornets Pick.
Charlotte Hornets Betting Preview
The Charlotte Hornets lost to the Hawks, beat the Knicks, and they play the Heat, Magic, and Raptors next. The Hornets look for two straight wins for the second time since January 22.
The Charlotte Hornets are averaging 105.7 points on 42.8 percent shooting and allowing 113.7 points on 46.7 percent shooting. LaMelo Ball is averaging 25.4 points and 5.1 rebounds, while Miles Bridges is averaging 21.1 points and 7.8 rebounds. Mark Williams is the third double-digit scorer and Nick Smith Jr. is grabbing 1.9 rebounds. The Charlotte Hornets are shooting 33.8 percent from beyond the arc and 78.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Charlotte Hornets are allowing 35.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.4 rebounds per game.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Bucks and 76ers, and then play the Clippers, Kings, and Grizzlies next. The Thunder have won 11 of their last 12 games and have the best record in the NBA.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 119.7 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 107.2 points on 43.6 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.8 points and 6.2 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 21.3 points and 5.5 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer and Isaiah Hartenstein is grabbing 11.1 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 82.5 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 21 games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Hornets have lost 19 of their last 20 night games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games.
- The Hornets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Thunder.
Why the Charlotte Hornets will win
- The Thunder have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Hornets have won three of their last four games as road underdogs against Northwest Division opponents following a win.
- The Hornets have covered the spread in seven of their last eight night games against the Thunder.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games against Hornets teams that held a losing record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+12.7).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for steals per game this season (10.5).
- The Hornets rank 30th in the league for field goal percentage this season (42.9%).
- The Hornets rank 30th in the league for free throws made per game this season (15.6).
Thunder vs Hornets Injury Report
The Thunder will be without Jalen Williams, Ousmane Dieng, Luguentz Dort, and Nikola Topic. Cason Wallace is questionable with a shoulder injury.
The Charlotte Hornets will be without Brandon Miller, Grant Williams, Tre Mann, and Josh Okogie.
Thunder vs Hornets Prediction
The underdog has covered four of the last five games between the Hornets and Spurs, so you can talk yourself into the points. I still can’t get there. The Hornets are an awful team that’s hard to trust night-to-night. The Thunder have a 67.6 percent cover percentage, which is the best in the NBA. The Thunder are also 11-7-1 ATS in their last 19 games as a double-digit favorite.
The Thunder have also taken away the best record from the Cavs and you know they’ll want to keep it, so there’s motivation not to play with their food. It’s a massive number and not one I usually lay in the NBA, but OKC cashes tickets better than any team in the league. Sometimes you just play the trends. Give me the Thunder in a Friday night beatdown.